Te Tai Tokerau poll
September 22, 2017
Reid Research for Maori TV found:
Party Vote
- Labour 50%
- Maori Party 10%
- NZ First 15%
- National 8%
- Greens 10%
- Mana 6%
Electorate Vote
- Kelvin Davis (L) 67%
- Hine Harawira (Mana) 30%
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Newshub Reid Research poll 21 September 2017
September 21, 2017
Polling Company: Reid Research
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250
Poll Size: 1,000
Undecideds: Unknown
Dates: 13 to 20 September 2017
Client: Newshub
Report: Newshub
Party Support
- National 45.8% (-1.5%)
- Labour 37.3% (-0.5%)
- Green 7.1% (+2.2%)
- NZ First 7.1% (+1.1%)
- Maori 0.4% (-0.7%)
- ACT 0.6% (+0.1%)
- Opportunities 0.9% (-0.7%)
Projected Seats
- National 56
- Labour 45
- Green 9
- ACT 1
- Maori 2
- NZ First 9
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats except Ohariu.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 56 + ACT 1 = 57/122 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 45 + Greens 9 = 54/122 – eight fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 8 + Maori 2 = 10/122
On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.
Preferred PM
- Bill English 34.7% (+1.6%)
- Jacinda Ardern 29.7% (-2.0%)
- Winston Peters 7.1% (+0.2%)
One News Colmar Brunton poll 20 September 2017
September 21, 2017
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,006 voters of whom approx 840 have a party vote preference
Undecideds: 13%
Dates: 16 September to 19 September 2017
Client: One News
Party Support
- National 46.0% (+6.0%)
- Labour 37.0% (-7%)
- Green 8.0% (+1%)
- NZ First 4.9% (-1.1%)
- Maori 0.5% (-0.4%)
- ACT 0.3% (-0.3%)
- Opportunities 2.3% (+0.7%)
Projected Seats
- National 58
- Labour 46
- Green 9
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- NZ First 6
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats except Ohariu going to Labour.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 58 + ACT 1 = 59/121 – two fewer the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 46 + Greens 9 = 55/121 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 6 + Maori 1 = 7/121
On this poll there would be a NZ First would hold the balance of power.
Preferred PM
- Bill English 37.0% (+5%)
- Jacinda Ardern 31% (-3%)
- Winston Peters 6% (+1%)
Tamaki Makaurau poll
September 18, 2017
Newshub reports on a Reid Research poll:
Party Vote
- Labour 47.0% (+6.2%)
- Maori Party 14.5% (+1.7%)
- NZ First 12.1% (-2.0%)
- Greens 11.3% (-0.5%)
- National 12.6% (+5.0%)
Electorate Vote
- Peeni Henare (L) 46.0% (+7.7%)
- Shane Taurima (M) 32.6% (+1.7%)
- Marama Davidson (G) 21.4% (+5.5%)
The changes are from the election result.
Roy Morgan poll September 2017
September 17, 2017
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 866 of whom 825 have a party preference
Undecideds: 5.0%
Dates: 28 August to 10 September 2017
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 40.0% (-2.5%)
- Labour 39.5% (+7.0%)
- Green 9.0% (nc)
- NZ First 6.0% (-5.5%)
- Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
- ACT 0.5% (nc)
- Mana 0.0% (nc)
- TOP 2.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 50
- Labour 49
- Green 11
- ACT 1
- Maori 2
- NZ First 7
- Total 120
This is based on no change in electorate seats except Ohariu.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 51 + ACT 1 = 51/120 – 10 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 49 + Greens 11 = 60/120 – 1 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 7 + Maori 2 = 9/120
On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.
Country Direction
- Right 62.0% (-0.5%)
- Wrong 25.0% (+1.5)
- Can’t Say 13.0% (-1.0%)
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One News Colmar Brunton poll 13 September 2017
September 17, 2017
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,006 voters of whom 840 have a party vote preference
Undecideds: 14%
Dates: 9 September to 13 September 2017
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 40.0% (+1.0%)
- Labour 44.0% (+1%)
- Green 7.0% (+2%)
- NZ First 6.0% (-3.0%)
- Maori 0.9% (-1.1%)
- ACT 0.6% (+0.5%)
- Opportunities 1.6% (-0.3%)
Projected Seats
- National 48
- Labour 55
- Green 8
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- NZ First 7
- Total 120
This is based on no change in electorate seats except Ohariu going to Labour.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 48 + ACT 1 = 49/120 – 12 fewer the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 55 + Greens 8 = 63/120 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 7 + Maori 1 = 8/121
On this poll there would be a Labour/Green Government.
Preferred PM
- Bill English 32.0% (+1%)
- Jacinda Ardern 34% (-1%)
- Winston Peters 5% (nc)
Newshub Reid Research poll early September 2017
September 12, 2017
Polling Company: Reid Research
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250
Poll Size: 1,000
Undecideds: Unknown
Dates: 6 to 11 September 2017
Client: Newshub
Report: Newshub
Party Support
- National 47.3% (+4.0%)
- Labour 37.8% (-1.6%)
- Green 4.9% (-1.2%)
- NZ First 6.0% (-0.6%)
- Maori 1.1% (+0.1%)
- ACT 0.5% (-0.1%)
- Opportunities 1.6% (-0.3%)
Projected Seats
- National 61
- Labour 49
- Green 0
- ACT 1
- Maori 2
- NZ First 8
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 61 + ACT 1 = 62/121 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 49 + Greens 0 = 49/121 – 12 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 8 + Maori 2 = 10/121
On this poll National could govern alone.
Preferred PM
- Bill English 33.1% (+3.0%)
- Jacinda Ardern 31.7% (+1.8%)
- Winston Peters 6.9% (nc)
Waiariki poll
September 11, 2017
Reid Research for Maori TV found:
Party Vote
- Labour 50%
- Maori Party 27%
- NZ First 10%
- National 6%
- Greens 5%
Electorate Vote
- Tamati Coffey (L) 40%
- Te Ururoa Flavell (M) 60%
Hauraki-Waikato poll
September 11, 2017
Reid Research for Maori TV found:
Party Vote
- Labour 53%
- NZ First 15%
- Maori Party 15%
Electorate Vote
- Nanaia Mahuta (L) 78%
- Rahui Papa (M) 22%
One News Colmar Brunton poll early September 2017
September 7, 2017
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 voters of whom around 800 have a party vote preference
Undecideds:
Dates: 2 September to 6 September 2017
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 39.0% (-2.0%)
- Labour 43.0% (nc)
- Green 5.0% (nc)
- NZ First 9.0% (+1.0%)
- Maori 2.0% (+1.0%)
- ACT 0.1%
- Opportunities 1.9% (+0.9%)
Projected Seats
- National 48
- Labour 53
- Green 6
- ACT 1
- Maori 2
- NZ First 11
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats except Ohariu going to Labour and Te Tai Haururu to Maori Party.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 48 + ACT 1 = 49/121 – 12 fewer the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 53 + Greens 6 = 59/121 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 11 + Maori 2 = 13/121
Possible Governments are:
National/Maori/NZ First 61 seats
Labour/NZ First 64 seats
Labour/Greens/Maori 61 seats
Preferred PM
- Bill English 31.0% (-2%)
- Jacinda Ardern 35% (+1%)
- Winston Peters 5% (+1%)