One News Colmar Brunton poll 20 September 2017
September 21, 2017
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,006 voters of whom approx 840 have a party vote preference
Undecideds: 13%
Dates: 16 September to 19 September 2017
Client: One News
Party Support
- National 46.0% (+6.0%)
- Labour 37.0% (-7%)
- Green 8.0% (+1%)
- NZ First 4.9% (-1.1%)
- Maori 0.5% (-0.4%)
- ACT 0.3% (-0.3%)
- Opportunities 2.3% (+0.7%)
Projected Seats
- National 58
- Labour 46
- Green 9
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- NZ First 6
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats except Ohariu going to Labour.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 58 + ACT 1 = 59/121 – two fewer the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 46 + Greens 9 = 55/121 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 6 + Maori 1 = 7/121
On this poll there would be a NZ First would hold the balance of power.
Preferred PM
- Bill English 37.0% (+5%)
- Jacinda Ardern 31% (-3%)
- Winston Peters 6% (+1%)
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