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Newshub Reid Research poll January 2018

February 2, 2018

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates:  18 to 28 January 2018

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

  • National 44.5% (-1.3%)
  • Labour 42.3% (+5.0%)
  • Green 6.0% (-1.1%)
  • NZ First 3.8% (-3.3%)
  • Maori 0.8% (+0.4%)
  • ACT 0.2% (-0.4%)
  • Opportunities 1.4% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 57
  • Labour 55
  • Green 8
  • ACT 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 57 + ACT 1 = 58/121 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 55 + Greens 8 = 63/121 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0  = 0/121

On this poll there would be a Labour/Green Government

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 26.0% (-8.7%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 38.0% (+8.3%)

Leader Ratings

  • Bill English – 53.3% well and 24.2% poor = +28.9%
  • Jacinda Ardern – 70.9% well and 9.3% poor = +61.6%

PM’s pregnancy

  • positively affect her performance 34%
  • negatively 20%
  • No impact 39%
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Prostitution poll

January 12, 2018

A Curia poll for Family First found:

  • 76% support Councils being able to ban street prostitution with 19% opposed
  • 25% support brothels being able to operate in residential areas and 61% opposed
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Electoral issues poll

January 12, 2018

Research NZ found:

  • 56% support showing ID in order to vote and 40% opposed
  • 34% support compulsory voting and 59% opposed
  • 37% are satisfied with MMP and 37% dissatisfied
  • 47% agree MMP results in a more representative Government and 32% disagree
  • 28% agree MMP Governments are less effective than FPP Governments and 52% disagree
  • 47% agree it is not a concern the largest party did not form Government and 42% disagree
  • 41% would vote to retain the Maori seats and 44% would vote to abolish them
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One News Colmar Brunton poll December 2017

December 13, 2017

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone – 50/50 landline and mobile

Poll Size: 1,007 voters of whom 874 have a party vote preference

Undecideds: 10%

Dates: 29 November to 5 December 2017

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 46.0% (nc)
  • Labour 39.0% (+2%)
  • Green 7.0% (-1%)
  • NZ First 5.0% (+0.1%)
  • Maori 0.9% (+0.4%)
  • ACT 0.1% (-0.2%)
  • Opportunities 1.2% (-1.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 57
  • Labour 48
  • Green 9
  • ACT 1
  • NZ First 6
  • Total 121

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 57 + ACT 1 = 58/121 – three fewer the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 48 + Greens 9 = 57/121 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 6= 6/121

On this poll there would be a NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 28.0% (-9%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 37% (+6%)
  • Winston Peters 5% (-1%)

Government Direction

  • Right 51%
  • Wrong 26%
  • Unsure 23%
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Kiwisaver investments poll

December 5, 2017

The Herald reports:

Over half of KiwiSavers are apathetic as to where their money is invested, research suggests.

A survey of 1000 people by Westpac has revealed 40 per cent don’t care where their money is invested and a further 16 per cent don’t want to know. …

Westpac’s research revealed 41 per cent of respondents preferred to have their money in a fund which invests in companies making a positive environmental or social contribution.

Fourteen per cent disagreed with that approach, while 45 per cent said they were not concerned. …

But the views were more split when it came to whether investing in companies that make a positive environmental or social contribution was more important than the KiwiSaver rate of return.

Only 24 per cent agreed with that idea while 31 per cent didn’t agree and a further 45 per cent didn’t have an opinion on it.

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Roy Morgan poll November 2017

December 5, 2017

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 887 of whom 869 have a party preference

Undecideds: 2.0%

Dates: 30 October to 12 November 2017

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 40.5% (-5.5%)
  • Labour 39.5% (+8.5%)
  • Green 10.0% (-1.0%)
  • NZ First 5.0% (-1.5%)
  • Maori 1.5% (nc)
  • ACT 0.5% (nc)
  • TOP 2.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 51
  • Labour 49
  • Green 13
  • ACT 1
  • NZ First 6
  • Total 120

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 51 + ACT 1 = 52/120 – nine fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 49 + Greens 13 = 62/120 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 6 = 8/120

On this poll Labour could govern with the Greens.

Country Direction

  • Right 66.5% (+8.0%)
  • Wrong 20.0% (-7.0%)
  • Can’t Say 13.5% (-1.0%)
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Medical Cannabis poll

November 21, 2017

ResearchNZ polled 500 people on legalising cannabis-based products for medicinal purposes. They found:

  • 77% support
  • 16% opposed
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Roy Morgan poll October 2017

October 28, 2017

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 894 of whom 863 have a party preference

Undecideds: 2.5%

Dates: 02 October to 15 October 2017

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 46.0% (+6.0%)
  • Labour 31.0% (-8.5%)
  • Green 11.0% (+2.0%)
  • NZ First 6.5% (+0.5%)
  • Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 0.5% (nc)
  • TOP 2.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 58
  • Labour 39
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • NZ First 8
  • Total 120

This is based on no change in electorate seats except Ohariu.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 58 + ACT 1 = 59/120 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 14 = 53/120 – eight fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 8 = 8/120

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

  • Right 58.5% (-3.5%)
  • Wrong 27.0% (+2.0)
  • Can’t Say 14.5% (+1.5%)
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Te Tai Tokerau poll

September 22, 2017

Reid Research for Maori TV found:

Party Vote

  • Labour 50%
  • Maori Party 10%
  • NZ First 15%
  • National 8%
  • Greens 10%
  • Mana 6%

Electorate Vote

  • Kelvin Davis (L) 67%
  • Hine Harawira (Mana) 30%
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Newshub Reid Research poll 21 September 2017

September 21, 2017

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates:  13 to 20 September 2017

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

  • National 45.8% (-1.5%)
  • Labour 37.3% (-0.5%)
  • Green 7.1% (+2.2%)
  • NZ First 7.1% (+1.1%)
  • Maori 0.4% (-0.7%)
  • ACT 0.6% (+0.1%)
  • Opportunities 0.9% (-0.7%)

Projected Seats

  • National 56
  • Labour 45
  • Green 9
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • NZ First 9
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats except Ohariu.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 56 + ACT 1 = 57/122 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 45 + Greens 9 = 54/122 – eight fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 8 + Maori 2 = 10/122

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 34.7% (+1.6%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 29.7% (-2.0%)
  • Winston Peters 7.1% (+0.2%)
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Public Poll Average

  Vote Seats
National 35.2% 44
Labour 29.7% 37
Act 9.6% 12
Green 10.8% 14
NZ First 7.4% 9
Maori 3.1% 6
CR 51.2% 65
CL 44.1% 57
Total 97.9% 122
14/10/24
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