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Colmar Brunton Poll on National Party

August 19, 2008

One News has broadcast results from their poll, relating to trust in National:

  • 50% say National is not being open about its plans
  • 37% say they are being open
  • 25% of National’s own supporters say they are not being open
  • 52% against boosting borrowing for infrastructure, 39% agree
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Fairfax poll on NZ First

August 18, 2008

The Dominion Post reports further results from the Fairfax/Nielsen poll, on the issue of NZ First:

  • 48 per cent of voters believe Peters should be stood down from his ministerial positions over questions surrounding donations to NZ First, with 37% disagreeing and 15% unsure
  • On whether NZ First should be involved in discussions after the election about the formation of the next government, 37% support a Labour doing a deal with NZ First and 52% against. For a deal with National 26% say yes and 54% say no.
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One News/Colmar Brunton August 2008

August 17, 2008

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,009 total voters and 908 decided voters (3.2% and 3.4% maximum margins of error)

Dates: 9 August to 14 August 2008

Client: One News

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

  • National 51.0% (-1.0%)
  • Labour 37.0% (+2.0%)
  • Green 3.5% (-2.5%)
  • NZ First 2.6% (+0.2%)
  • Maori 3.1% (+1.4%)
  • United Future 0.7% (+0.7%)
  • ACT 0.6% (-0.6%)
  • Progressive 0.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
  • National 66
  • Labour 48
  • Green 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Maori 6
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Progressive 1
  • Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning six electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Preferred PM

  • Key 36.0% (-2.0%)
  • Clark 33.0% (+2.0%)
  • Peters 3.0% (-1.0%)


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Fairfax Poll August 2008

August 16, 2008

Polling Company: Nielsen

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,102 total voters, 981 decided voters (3.3% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 6 to 12 August 2008

Client: Fairfax Media

Report: Stuff and Stuff

Party Support

  • National 54.0% (+3.0%)
  • Labour 35.0% (nc)
  • Green 4.0% (-1.0%)
  • NZ First 3.0% (-1.0%)
  • Maori 2.0% (nc)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 1.0% (nc)
  • Progressive 0.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
  • National 70
  • Labour 46
  • Green 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Maori 6
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Progressive 1
  • Total 125
This is based on Maori Party winning six electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Preferred PM

  • Key 43.0% (+4.0%)
  • Clark 31.0 (-1.0%)
  • Peters 2.0% (-1.0%)
Issues
  • 35% think National can afford significantly bigger tax cuts than Labour, 48% disagree
  • 45% think personal finances get better in next 12 months, 30% worse
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Roy Morgan Poll early August 2008

August 15, 2008

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 836 (3.5% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 28 July to 10 August 2008

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 48.0% (+0.5%)
  • Labour 34.0% (+1.5%)
  • Green 7.5% (-0.5%)
  • NZ First 6.5% (+1.5%)
  • Maori 2.0% (-1.0%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 1.5% (-1.0%)
  • Progressive 0.0% (nc)
  • Other 0.5% (-0.5%)
Breakdowns are also given for Auckland, Wellington, Christchurch, Other NI and Other SI.
Projected Seats
  • National 58
  • Labour 41
  • Green 9
  • NZ First 8
  • Maori 6
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 2
  • Progressive 1
  • Total 126
This is based on Maori Party winning six electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Country Direction
  • Right 44.5% (+6.0%)
  • Wrong 41.0% (-6.0%)
  • Can’t Say 14.5% (nc)
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Tauranga Colmar Brunton One News August 2008 Poll

August 10, 2008

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone of Tauranga voters

Poll Size: 519 voters (4.3% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 6 August to 9 August 2008

Client: One News

Report: None yet

Candidate Support

  • Simon Bridges, National 48%
  • Winston Peters, NZ First 28%
  • Anne Pankhurst, Labour 15%

Party Support

  • National 55%
  • Labour 31%
  • NZ First 6%
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Te Tai Tonga Marae Digipoll August 2008

August 10, 2008

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone of Te Tai Tonga voters

Poll Size: 380 voters (5.1% maximum margin of error)

Dates: Unknown but possibly 22 July to 4 August 2008

Client: Marae

Report: None yet

Candidate Support

  • Mahara Okeroa, Labour 39.4%
  • Rahui Katene, Maori Party 42.4%
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Roy Morgan Poll late July 2008

August 8, 2008

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 834 (3.5% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 14 July to 27 July 2008

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 47.5% (-4.5%)
  • Labour 30.5% (+2.0%)
  • Green 8.0% (+1.0%)
  • NZ First 5.0% (-1.5%)
  • Maori 3.0% (+2.0%)
  • United Future 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 2.5% (+2.0%)
  • Progressive 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • Other 1.0% (+1.0%)
Breakdowns are also given for Auckland, Wellington, Christchurch, Other NI and Other SI.
Projected Seats
  • National 57
  • Labour 39
  • Progressive 1
  • NZ First 6
  • Green 10
  • United Future 1
  • Maori 6
  • ACT 3
  • Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning six electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Country Direction
  • Right 38.5% (+2.0%)
  • Wrong 47.0% (-2.5%)
  • Can’t Say 14.5% (+0.5%)
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Marae-Digipoll Hauraki-Waikato August 2008 Poll

August 8, 2008

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone of Ikaroa-Rawhiti voters

Poll Size: 400 voters (4.9% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 7 July to 21 July 2008

Client: Marae

Report: None yet

Party Support

  • Maori Party 44.9%
  • Labour 33.4%
  • National 12.0%

Candidate Support

  • Nanaia Mahuta, Labour 45.3%
  • Angeline Greensill, Maori Party 41.4%

Most Liked MP

  • Pita Sharples, Labour Maori Party 25.5%
  • Nanaia Mahuta, Labour 13.4%
  • Winston Peters, NZ First, 10.6%
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NZ Herald DigiPoll July 2008

July 29, 2008

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 770 respondents, 660 decided respondents (3.6% and 3.9% maximum margins of error)

Dates: Not stated but normally over three weeks, and probably up until 26 July 2008

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald main story and breakdowns here and graphs here.

Party Support

  • National 55.4% (+0.5%)
  • Labour 30.8% (-1.6%)
  • Progressive – 0.0% (nc)
  • NZ First 4.1% (+0.8%)
  • Green 5.5% (-0.4%)
  • United Future 0.9% (+0.8%)
  • Maori – 2.6% (+0.8%)
  • ACT – 0.2% (-0.6%)
14.3% of respondents were undecided
Projected Seats
  • National 70
  • Labour 39
  • Progressive 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Green 7
  • United Future 1
  • Maori 6
  • ACT 1
  • Total 125
This is based on Maori Party winning six electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Preferred PM

  • Key 47.1% (+1.1%)
  • Clark 44.0% (-1.0%)
  • Peters 4.9%

Most influential issue

  • Economy 22.9%
  • Law & Order 17.2%
  • Tax Cuts 16.5%
  • Hospital Waiting Lists 13.8%
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Public Poll Average

  Vote Seats
National 34.5% 44
Labour 29.3% 37
Green 10.2% 13
Act 9.8% 12
NZ First 5.8% 7
TPM 5.9% 7
CR 50.2% 63
CL 45.3% 57
Total 96.3% 120
27/11/24
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