Smokefree Areas
January 31, 2009
A survey of 500 Rotorua residents found 85% support a ban on smoking in public playgrounds and the Redwoods forest. A third of the survey were smokers
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Roy Morgan Poll mid December 2008
December 19, 2008
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 948 (3.4% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 01 December to 14 December 2008
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 47.0% (+3.0%)
- Labour 31.5% (-1.0%)
- Green 9.5% (nc)
- NZ First 3.0% (-0.5%)
- Maori 2.0% (-1.5%)
- United Future 1.0% (nc)
- ACT 4.0% (nc)
- Progressive 0.5% (nc)
- Other 1.5% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 59
- Labour 39
- Green 12
- NZ First 0
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- ACT 5
- Progressive 1
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- National 59 + ACT 5 = 64/122 – majority possible
- Labour 39 + Progressive 1 + Greens 12 + Maori 5 = 57/122 = majority not possible
The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 62 is shown. The Maori Party is the only party assumed to be able to go with National or Labour.
Country Direction
- Right 63.0% (-3.0%)
- Wrong 20.0% (+1.0%)
- Can’t Say 17.0% (+2.0%)
Roy Morgan Poll late November 2008
December 7, 2008
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 908 (3.5% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 16 November to 30 November 2008
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 44.0% (+2.0%)
- Labour 32.5% (-2.0%)
- Green 9.5% (-0.5%)
- NZ First 3.5% (-1.0%)
- Maori 3.5% (+1.0%)
- United Future 1.0% (nc)
- ACT 4.0% (nc)
- Progressive 0.0% (nc)
- Other 1.5% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 56
- Labour 42
- Green 12
- NZ First 0
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- ACT 5
- Progressive 1
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- National 56 + ACT 5 + United Future = 62/122 – majority possible
- Labour 42 + Progressive 1 + Greens 12 + Maori 5 = 60/122 = majority not possible
The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 62 is shown. The Maori Party is the only party assumed to be able to go with National or Labour.
Country Direction
- Right 66.0% (+14.5%)
- Wrong 19.0% (-16.0%)
- Can’t Say 15.0% (+1.5%)
Roy Morgan early November 2008
November 8, 2008
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1038 (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 20 October to 02 November 2008
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 42.0% (-1.0%)
- Labour 34.5% (+2.5%)
- Green 10.0% (-1.5%)
- NZ First 4.5% (nc)
- Maori 2.5% (nc)
- United Future 1.0% (+0.5%)
- ACT 4.0% (+0.5%)
- Progressive 0.0% (-0.5%)
- Other 1.5% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 54
- Labour 44
- Green 13
- NZ First 0
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- ACT 5
- Progressive 1
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning six electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- National 54 + ACT 5 + United Future 1 + Maori 4 = 64/122 – majority possible
- Labour 44 + Progressive 1 + Greens 13 + Maori 4 = 62/122 = majority possible
The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 62 is shown. It is assumed ACT and United would only go with National and Progressive and NZ First only go with Labour.
Country Direction
- Right 51.5% (-1.5%)
- Wrong 35.0% (+0.5%)
- Can’t Say 13.5% (+1.0%)
Fairfax Poll November 2008
November 7, 2008
Polling Company: Nielsen
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: unclear, assumed 1000
Dates: estimated up until 2 Nov 2008
Client: Fairfax Media
Report: Stuff
Party Support
- National 49.0% (-2.0%)
- Labour 31.0% (-2.0%)
- Green 8.0% (+1.0%)
- NZ First 3.0% (nc)
- Maori 3.0% (+1.0%)
- United Future 1.0% (nc)
- ACT 4.0% (+3.0%)
- Progressive 0.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 61
- Labour 39
- Green 10
- NZ First 0
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- ACT 5
- Progressive 1
- Total 121
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- National 61 = 61/121 – majority possible
- Labour 49 + Progressive 1 + Greens 10 + Maori 4 = 54/121 = majority not possible
The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 61 is shown. It is assumed ACT and United Future would only go with National and Progressive and NZ First only go with Labour. For National next options after ACT, in order of ease, are United Future, Maori Party, and Greens. For Labour next options after Progressive and NZ First in order of ease are Greens, Maori Party and United Future.
Preferred PM
- John Key 48.0% (+5.0%)
- Helen Clark 35.0% (nc)
NZ Herald Digipoll November 2008
November 7, 2008
Polling Company: DigiPoll
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 981 respondents of whom 920 (6.1% are undecided) were decided, (3.4% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 29 October to 02 November 2008
Client: NZ Herald
Report: NZ Herald main story
Party Support
- National 47.9% (-2.5%)
- Labour 36.4% (-0.6%)
- Green 5.8% (+0.4%)
- NZ First 3.9% (+1.8%)
- Maori 2.3% (-0.1%)
- United Future 0.7% (+0.5%)
- ACT 1.8% (+0.6%)
- Progressive 0.2% (-0.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 61
- Labour 46
- Green 7
- NZ First 0
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- ACT 2
- Progressive 1
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- National 61 + ACT 2 = 63/122 – majority possible
- Labour 46 + Progressive 1 + Greens 7 + Maori 4 = 58/122 = no majority possible
The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 62 is shown. It is assumed ACT would only go with National and Progressive and NZ First only go with Labour. For National next options after ACT, in order of ease, are United Future, Maori Party, and Greens. For Labour next options after Progressive and NZ First in order of ease are Greens, Maori Party and United Future.
Preferred PM
- Key 46.2 (+1.6%)
- Clark 41.6% (-3.8%)
- Peters 5.0% (+1.0%)
Most influential issue
- Economy 34.6% (+6.6%)
One News Colmar Brunton Poll November 2008
November 6, 2008
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 total voters (3.2% maximum margins of error)
Dates: 18 October to 23 October 2008
Client: One News
Report: Not found
Party Support
- National 47.0% (nc)
- Labour 35.0% (nc)
- Green 9.0% (+1.0%)
- NZ First 2.4% (-0.6%)
- Maori 1.3% (-1.5%)
- United Future 0%
- ACT 2.5% (-0.4%)
- Progressive 0%
Projected Seats
- National 58
- Labour 43
- Green 12
- NZ First 0
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- ACT 3
- Progressive 1
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning six four electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- National 58 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 62/122 – majority possible
- Labour 43 + Progressive 1 + Greens 12 + Maori 4 = 60/122 = no majority possible
The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 62 is shown. It is assumed ACT would only go with National and Progressive, Greens and NZ First only go with Labour. For National next options after ACT, in order of ease, are United Future, Maori Party, and Greens. For Labour next options after Progressive and NZ First in order of ease are Greens, Maori Party.
Three News TNS Poll November 2008
November 6, 2008
Polling Company: TNS
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: not known yet
Client: TV3
Party Support
- National 46.0% (+0.0%)
- Labour 33.1% (-4.3%)
- Green 9.0% (-0.2%)
- NZ First 3.4% (-0.1%)
- Maori 2.7% (+0.4%)
- United Future 0.2% (nc)
- ACT 2.8% (+1.1%)
- Progressive 0.3% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 59
- Labour 42
- Green 12
- NZ First 0
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- ACT 4
- Progressive 1
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- National 59 + ACT 4 = 63/123 – majority possible
- Labour 42 + Progressive 1 + Greens 12 + Maori 4 = 59/123 = majority not possible
The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 62 is shown. It is assumed ACT would only go with National and Progressive and NZ First only go with Labour. For National next options after ACT, in order of ease, are United Future, Maori Party, and Greens. For Labour next options after Progressive and NZ First in order of ease are Greens, Maori Party and United Future.
Preferred PM
- Key 36.4% (+2.8%)
- Clark 34.2% (+0.6%)
Economic Management
November 6, 2008
The Herald Digipoll asked whether a Labour-led government or a National-led one would better handle the New Zealand economy as the world faces a downturn.
- 49.6% said National
- 40.7% said Labour
One News Colmar Brunton Poll 26 October 2008
November 3, 2008
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 total voters (3.2% maximum margins of error)
Dates: 18 October to 23 October 2008
Client: One News
Report: Not found
Party Support
- National 47.0% (-3.0%)
- Labour 35.0% (-1.0%)
- Green 8.0% (+3.0%)
- NZ First 3.0% (+0.9%)
- Maori 3.0% (+0.9%)
- United Future 0.4% (-0.1%)
- ACT 2.0% (-0.1%)
- Progressive 0.0% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 59
- Labour 44
- Green 10
- NZ First 0
- Maori 6
- United Future 1
- ACT 2
- Progressive 1
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning six electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- National 59 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 62/123 – majority possible
- Labour 44 + Progressive 1 + Greens 10 + Maori 6 = 61/123 = no majority possible
The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 62 is shown. It is assumed ACT would only go with National and Progressive, Greens and NZ First only go with Labour. For National next options after ACT, in order of ease, are United Future, Maori Party, and Greens. For Labour next options after Progressive and NZ First in order of ease are Greens, Maori Party.
Preferred PM
- Key 38.0% (-2.0%)
- Clark 37.0% (+3.0%)