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Relationships

February 11, 2009

Colmar Brunton have done a survey of 500 people for the makers of K-Y. They found:

  • 25% of women say financial worries are affecting intimacy levels in their relationship
  • 19% of men say the same
  • In the 20 to 24 age group, it is 38%
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Roy Morgan late January 2009

February 10, 2009

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 982 (3.3% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 19 January to 1 February 2009

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 48.0% (nc)
  • Labour 31.0% (-2.0%)
  • Green 9.0% (+1.0%)
  • NZ First 3.0% (+0.5%)
  • Maori 3.5% (nc)
  • United Future 1.0% (nc)
  • ACT 3.5% (+0.5%)
  • Progressive 0.5% (nc)
  • Other 0.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 39
  • Green 11
  • NZ First 0
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 4
  • Progressive 1
  • Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Coalition Options

  • National 60 + ACT 4 = 64/121 – majority possible
  • Labour 39 + Progressive 1 + Greens 11 + Maori 5 = 56/122 = majority not possible

The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 62 is shown. The Maori Party is the only party assumed to be able to go with National or Labour.

Country Direction

  • Right 65.0% (-2.0%)
  • Wrong 20.0% (+1.0%)
  • Can’t Say 15.0% (+1.0%)
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Financial Optimism

February 10, 2009

Research NZ polled 500 people from 26 November to 3 December 2008 on their financial optimism.

  • 50% think things will be better over the next 12 months and 23% worse
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Republicanism

February 10, 2009

Research NZ polled 500 people from 26 November to 3 Decmeber 2008 on republicanism.

  • 42% of NZers support NZ becoming a Republic, and 38% do not
  • 48% of men support a republic, compared to only 37% of women
  • Most under 40s support a republic while those over 60 are against 2:1
  • 45% wants Prince Charles to succeed the Queen and 43% Prince William
  • A net 13% of men want Charles and a net 9% of women want William
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Job Security

February 10, 2009

Research NZ polled 500 people from 10 to 13 November 2008 on job security.

  • 73% of those in employment think their job is secure
  • Only 58% of those in households with income under $40K think their job is secure compared to 80% of those in households with over $70k income
  • 39% expect a pay rise in the next year, 58% do not
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MMP

February 10, 2009

Research NZ polled 500 people from 10 to 13 November 2008 on MMP.

  • 53% support MMP (up 7% from Aug) and 35% FPP (down 6%) suggesting the election result has led to more people happier with MMP
  • 69% of under 30s support MMP but only 45% of over 60s, however MMP more popular than FPP in all age groups
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Asian Immigrants

January 31, 2009

A Colmar Brunton survey of 1,000 NZers for the Asia NZ Foundation has found the following:

  • 75% of NZers said Asia was important to NZ’s future. 86% rated South Pacific as important, 67% Europe (incl UK), 55% North America, 24% Latin America and 12% Africa
  • 91% rate exports to Asia as positive, 89% Asian tourism to NZ, 73% FTAs with Asia countries, 80% Asian economic growth, 78% tourism to Asia, 58% imports from Asia, 62% Asian culture and traditions, 46% Asian population growth and 53% immigration from Asia to NZ
  • “Net positive” ratings for the above are 87% exports to Asia, 83% Asian tourism to NZ, 58% FTAs with Asia countries, 70% Asian economic growth, 72% tourism to Asia, 33% imports from Asia, 48% Asian culture and traditions,14% Asian population growth and 27% immigration from Asia to NZ
  • The countries that people associate with Asia are China 86%, Japan 62%, Korea 46%, Thailand 30%, India 30%, Malaysia 28% etc
  • Personal contact with Asian peoples is 19% a lot, 39% a fair amount, 28% not much, and 14% hardly anything.
  • Women and higher socio-economic NZers are more likely to have personal contact with Asians
  • 89% have contact with Asians through shopping, 67% through their work, 71% through friends, 63% through their neighbourhood community, 61% through school, 53% through clubs, 33% through sports, 29% through marriage, 32% through Asian events and 26% through religion.
  • On a warmth scale fo 0 to 100, NZers rate people from India as 70 (in Australia 57), from Japan 73 (64) and China 69 (56). Warmth is highest amongst those people who actually have a lot of contact with people from Asia.
  • 85% think Asian immigrants contribute to our economy, 82% that they bring valuable cultural diversity, and 64% that they improve workplace productivity
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Roy Morgan Poll January 2009

January 31, 2009

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,922 (2.3% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 02 January to 18 January 2009

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 48.0% (+1.0%)
  • Labour 33.0% (+1.5%)
  • Green 8.0% (-1.5%)
  • NZ First 2.5% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 3.5% (+1.5%)
  • United Future 1.0% (nc)
  • ACT 3.0% (-1.0%)
  • Progressive 0.5% (nc)
  • Other 0.5% (-1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 59
  • Labour 41
  • Green 10
  • NZ First 0
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 4
  • Progressive 1
  • Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Coalition Options

  • National 59 + ACT 4 = 63/121 – majority possible
  • Labour 41 + Progressive 1 + Greens 10 + Maori 5 = 57/122 = majority not possible

The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 62 is shown. The Maori Party is the only party assumed to be able to go with National or Labour.

Country Direction

  • Right 67.0% (+4.0%)
  • Wrong 19.0% (-1.0%)
  • Can’t Say 14.0% (-3.0%)
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Smokefree Areas

January 31, 2009

A survey of 500 Rotorua residents found 85% support a ban on smoking in public playgrounds and the Redwoods forest. A third of the survey were smokers

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Roy Morgan Poll mid December 2008

December 19, 2008

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 948 (3.4% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 01 December to 14 December 2008

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 47.0% (+3.0%)
  • Labour 31.5% (-1.0%)
  • Green 9.5% (nc)
  • NZ First 3.0% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 2.0% (-1.5%)
  • United Future 1.0% (nc)
  • ACT 4.0% (nc)
  • Progressive 0.5% (nc)
  • Other 1.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 59
  • Labour 39
  • Green 12
  • NZ First 0
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 5
  • Progressive 1
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Coalition Options

  • National 59 + ACT 5 = 64/122 – majority possible
  • Labour 39 + Progressive 1 + Greens 12 + Maori 5 = 57/122 = majority not possible

The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 62 is shown. The Maori Party is the only party assumed to be able to go with National or Labour.

Country Direction

  • Right 63.0% (-3.0%)
  • Wrong 20.0% (+1.0%)
  • Can’t Say 17.0% (+2.0%)
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Public Poll Average

  Vote Seats
National 34.5% 44
Labour 29.3% 37
Green 10.2% 13
Act 9.8% 12
NZ First 5.8% 7
TPM 5.9% 7
CR 50.2% 63
CL 45.3% 57
Total 96.3% 120
27/11/24
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