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Colmar Brunton Poll on Wanganui

October 12, 2009

Colmar Brunton polled on the name of Wanganui for One News, as part of their 1,000 respondent poll in September 2009. Findings:

  • 31% support name change to Whanganui
  • 58% do not
  • 12% unsure
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UMR poll on NZ media

October 7, 2009

UMR polled 750 New Zealanders from 24 to 27 September on what they think of the NZ media. Very interesting results:

  • Only 35% said the NZ media are accurate in reporting the news, with 25% saying inaccurate, 37% neutral and 3% don’t know.
  • Over 60s have the lowest score for accuracy – 23% compared to 43% for under 30s.
  • 30% say the NZ media are balanced and 30% say they are one-sided.
  • 27% say they are willing to admit mistakes, and 46% say they are not willing.
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One News Colmar Brunton Poll September 2009

October 1, 2009

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 adults, of whom 837 are decided

Dates: 19 September to 24 September 2009

Client: One News

Report:

Party Support

  • National 54.0% (-2.0%)
  • Labour 33.0% (+2.0%)
  • Green 4.3% (-2.7%)
  • ACT 3.2% (+2.2%)
  • Maori 2.7% (-0.4%)
  • United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
  • Progressive 0.4% (-0.1%)
  • NZ First 1.7% (+0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 70
  • Labour 42
  • Green 0
  • ACT 4
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 70 + ACT 4 + United Future 1 = 75/123 – 13 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 42 + Progressive 1 + Greens 0 = 43/123 -19 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Economic Outlook

  • 70% economy over next 12 months will be better (+10.0%)
  • 16% same (-2.0%)
  • 13% worse (-9.0%)
Preferred PM
  • John Key 50% (-1.0%)
  • Phil Goff 9% (+2%)
  • Helen Clark 4% (+1%)
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Wanganui vs Whanganui

October 1, 2009

UMR polled 750 New Zealanders from 24 to 27 September 2009 on what Wanganui should be called:

  • 62% support Wanganui
  • 25% Whanganui
  • 13% unsure
  • 37% of Maori support Wanganui and 50% Whanganui
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World Leaders

October 1, 2009

UMR polled 750 New Zealanders from 27 to 30 August 2009 on their views of world leaders:

The net favourable ratings were:

  • Barack Obama +82%
  • Kevin Rudd +45%
  • Angela Merkel +15%
  • Nicolas Sarkozy +2%
  • Gordon Brown -1%
  • Silvio Berlusconi – 16%
  • Vladimir Putin -19%
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Roy Morgan Poll early September 2009

September 19, 2009

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 854 (3.4% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 31 August to 13 September 2009

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 51.5% (-5.0%)
  • Labour 33.5% (+4.0%)
  • Green 7.5% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 2.0% (+0.5%)
  • Maori 2.5% (+1.0%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • Progressive 0.5% (nc)
  • NZ First 2.5% (+1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 64
  • Labour 41
  • Green 9
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 64 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 67/123 – 5 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Progressive 1 + Greens 9 = 51/123 -11 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 67.5% (+2.0%)
  • Wrong 24.5% (+2.5%)
  • Can’t Say 8.0% (-4.5%)
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Auckland Council Services

September 14, 2009

UMR did a poll of 240 Aucklanders from 13 to 17 August 2009 on the role of the new Auckland Council. Findings:

  • 26% want Council to do core services only, while 67% want other services provided.
  • Strong opposition to asset sales, specifically 78% against transport facilities such as the port and airport being sold, 82% against parks, libraries, rec facilities being sold, 85% against water supplies being sold
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Global Economic Crisis

September 14, 2009

UMR polled 750 NZers from 27 to 30 August 2009.

Findings:

  • 36% think the worst of the recession is over -more so amongst men and higher income earners
  • Concern about the crisis for the NZ economy has dropped from 72% in June to 61% in August
  • Concern about the crisis for people personally has dropped from 54% in June to 48% in August
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Morality of New Zealanders

September 14, 2009

UMR polled 750 NZers from 30 July to 2 August 2009. Findings:

  • The most morally acceptable activities were divorce (81%), sex before marriage (77%), birth outside marriage (71%)
  • Homosexual relations deemed acceptable by 61%, euthanasia by 55%, abortion by 55% and gambling by 52%
  • Least acceptable are human cloning (7%), polygamy (11%), affairs (13%), suicide (20%), animal cloning (27%) and the death penalty (41%)
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MMP

September 14, 2009

ResearchNZ did a poll of 500 respondents from 8 to 10 September. Findings:

  • 45% want to retain MMP, 42% do not
  • 58% of under 25s want to retain MMP but only around 40% of over 55s
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Public Poll Average

  Vote Seats
National 34.5% 44
Labour 29.3% 37
Green 10.2% 13
Act 9.8% 12
NZ First 5.8% 7
TPM 5.9% 7
CR 50.2% 63
CL 45.3% 57
Total 96.3% 120
27/11/24
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