Blog

Same Sex Marriage

January 16, 2013

A Herald Digipoll found:

  • 59% support a change to allow same sex couples to marry
  • 38% say it should remain between a man and a woman
  • 69% of under 50s support same sex marriage
  • 59% of 0 to 64 year olds support same sex marriage
  • 37% of over 65s support same sex marriage
Leave a comment

Fairfax Ipsos poll December 2012

January 15, 2013

Polling Company: Ipsos

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,062 of whom 955 have a party preference

Undecideds: 9.0%

Dates: 28 November 2012 to 03 December 2012

Client: Fairfax

Report: Stuff

Party Support

  • National 46.2% (+1.3%)
  • Labour 34.4% (+1.8%)
  • Green 10.5% (-1.4%)
  • NZ First 3.8% (+0.2%)
  • Maori 1.4% (-1.3%)
  • United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
  • ACT 0.0% (-0.6%)
  • Mana 0.6% (-0.6%)
  • Conservative 1.4% (+0.7%)

Projected Seats

  • National 59
  • Labour 44
  • Green 14
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 59 + United Future 1 = 60/122 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 44 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 = 59/122 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 48.9% (-0.9%)
  • Wrong 51.1% (+0.9%)
Leave a comment

Roy Morgan poll December 2012

January 14, 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 880 of whom 840 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.5%

Dates: 26 November 2012 to 09 December 2012

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 45.5% (+0.5%)
  • Labour 33.5% (+2.0%)
  • Green 11.0% (-2.5%)
  • NZ First 5.0% (-1.5%)
  • Maori 1.5% (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • Mana 0.5% (+0.5%)
  • Conservative 1.0% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 56
  • Labour 41
  • Green 14
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 6
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 56 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 14 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 62/122 – the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 53.0% (+4.5%)
  • Wrong 34.0% (-3.5%)
  • Can’t Say 13.0% (-1.0%)
Leave a comment

3 News Reid Research Poll November 2012

December 2, 2012

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 24 to 30 November 2012

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 47.0% (-1.8%)
  • Labour 34.6% (+1.6%)
  • Green 12.9% (+2.3%)
  • ACT 0.2% (+0.1%)
  • Maori 1.0%  (-0.5%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • Mana 0.1% (-0.9%)
  • NZ First 2.0% (-1.2%)
  • Conservative 1.0% (-1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 59
  • Labour 43
  • Green 16
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/124 – two fewer than minimum 63 needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 43 + Greens 16 + Mana 1 = 60/122 – three fewer than minimum 63 needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 37.4% (-3.6%)
  • Shearer 12.6% (+4.1%)
  • Peters 5.0% (nc)
  • Norman 2.2% (-0.2%)

Leadership Performance Ratings

  • John Key – 51.9% (-3.1%) well and 29.4% (-1.0%) poor = +22.5% net well (-2.1%)
  • David Shearer – 31.6% (-1.9%) well and 34.4% (+2.9%) poor = -2.8% net well (-4.1%)
Leave a comment

One News Colmar Brunton November 2012

December 2, 2012

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds:

Dates: 24 to 29 November 2012

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 44.0% (-1.0%)
  • Labour 35.0% (+3.0%)
  • Green 13.0% (+1.0%)
  • ACT 1.0% (+0.4%)
  • Maori 1.0% (-1.2%)
  • United Future 1.0% (+0.8%)
  • Mana 0.0% (-1.0%)
  • NZ First 4.0% (-0.9%)
  • Conservative 1.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 55
  • Labour 45
  • Green 17
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 55 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – 5 less than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 45 + Greens 17 + Mana 1= 63/121 -1 more than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 39% (-3.0%)
  • David Shearer 15% (+4.0%)
Leave a comment

One News Colmar Brunton Poll October 2012

November 21, 2012

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,009 of whom 856 had a party vote preference

Undecideds: 11%

Dates: 27 October to 31 October 2012

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 45.0% (nc)
  • Labour 32.0% (-2.0%)
  • Green 12.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.6% (-0.3%)
  • Maori 2.2% (-0.7%)
  • United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
  • Mana 1.0% (+0.4%)
  • NZ First 4.9% (+3.1%)
  • Conservative 1.0% (-1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 58
  • Labour 41
  • Green 16
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/121 – 1 less than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 16 + Mana 1= 58/121 -3 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 42% (-2%)
  • David Shearer 11% (-1%)
  • Winston Peters 6% (+2%)
  • Russel Norman 3% (+1%)

Economic Outlook

  • Better 44% (+3%)
  • Worse 34% (-2%)
  • Same 22% (-1%)

Partial Asset Sales

  • Support 30% (+2%)
  • Oppose 64% (-1%)
  • Unsure 6% (-1%)

Republic

  • Become a republic 19% (-6%)
  • Stay with Queen as Head of State 74% (+7%)
  • Unsure 7% (-2%)

Trust in Government to protect personal details

  • Yes 37%
  • No 60%
  • Unsure 4%

Most effective opposition leader

  • David Shearer 25%
  • Winston Peters 24%
  • Russel Norman 18%
  • Hone Harawira 6%
  • Metiria Turei 5%
Leave a comment

Herald DigiPoll September 2012

September 11, 2012

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: Unknown

Poll Size: presume 750 respondents

Dates: Unknown, early September

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 47.9% (+0.4%)
  • Labour 32.0% (-2.0%)
  • Green 10.7% (+1.6%)
  • NZ First 5.5% (+1.1%)
  • Maori 1.5% (+0.2%)
  • United Future 0.3% (-0.2%)
  • ACT 0.2% (-0.3%)
  • Mana 0.3% (-1.4%)
  • Conservative 1.4% (+0.9%)

Projected Seats

  • National 59
  • Labour 39
  • Green 13
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except National winning Epsom (on basis of TVNZ poll).

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 59 + ACT 0 + United Future 1 = 60/123 – 2 less than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 13 + NZ First 7 + Mana 1 = 60/126 -2 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 65.6% (+2.1%)
  • Shearer 12.9% (-1.3%)

Country Direction

  • Right 48.1% (-1.6%)
  • Wrong 42.7% (-1.4%)
Leave a comment

Mining poll

August 25, 2012

ResearchNZ polled 500 adults:

  • 52% favour aeromagnetic surveying of minerals in world heritage sites
  • 37% are against
  • 42% support actual mining in world heritage sites that are not in Schedule 4
  • 49% are against
Leave a comment

Schools poll

August 25, 2012

ResearchNZ polled 500 adults:

  • 55% are in favour of schools being given an achievement rating based on their national standards results
  • 37% are against
  • 55% are also in favour of performance pay for school teachers
  • 39% are against
Leave a comment

Christchurch Cathedral poll

August 25, 2012

ResearchNZ polled 92 Cantabrians:

  • 48% supported the plan to demolish the cathedral to 2-3 metres and then rebuild it from there
  • 26% supported no further demolition and reconstruction
  • 15% supported neither option
  • 11% had no opinion
Leave a comment
« Later posts
Earlier posts »

Curia's blog specialises in polls and polling, with a mainly New Zealand focus. More

Never miss a poll: Subscribe via email

Public Poll Average

  Vote Seats
National 34.5% 44
Labour 29.3% 37
Green 10.2% 13
Act 9.8% 12
NZ First 5.8% 7
TPM 5.9% 7
CR 50.2% 63
CL 45.3% 57
Total 96.3% 120
27/11/24
Embed | Methodology

Explore the Archives

By date

By company

By issue

Get our paywalled newsletter on polling insights Subscribe

Get Curia's blog posts
via email