Moral Issues
January 20, 2013
A Herald on Sunday Key Research poll found:
- 54% favour marriage equality, 38% against
- 60% support euthanasia, 18% are against, 16% say depends on situation
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Same Sex Marriage
January 16, 2013
- 59% support a change to allow same sex couples to marry
- 38% say it should remain between a man and a woman
- 69% of under 50s support same sex marriage
- 59% of 0 to 64 year olds support same sex marriage
- 37% of over 65s support same sex marriage
Fairfax Ipsos poll December 2012
January 15, 2013
Polling Company: Ipsos
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,062 of whom 955 have a party preference
Undecideds: 9.0%
Dates: 28 November 2012 to 03 December 2012
Client: Fairfax
Report: Stuff
Party Support
- National 46.2% (+1.3%)
- Labour 34.4% (+1.8%)
- Green 10.5% (-1.4%)
- NZ First 3.8% (+0.2%)
- Maori 1.4% (-1.3%)
- United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
- ACT 0.0% (-0.6%)
- Mana 0.6% (-0.6%)
- Conservative 1.4% (+0.7%)
Projected Seats
- National 59
- Labour 44
- Green 14
- ACT 0
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 59 + United Future 1 = 60/122 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 44 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 = 59/122 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 48.9% (-0.9%)
- Wrong 51.1% (+0.9%)
Roy Morgan poll December 2012
January 14, 2013
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 880 of whom 840 have a party preference
Undecideds: 4.5%
Dates: 26 November 2012 to 09 December 2012
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 45.5% (+0.5%)
- Labour 33.5% (+2.0%)
- Green 11.0% (-2.5%)
- NZ First 5.0% (-1.5%)
- Maori 1.5% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
- ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
- Mana 0.5% (+0.5%)
- Conservative 1.0% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 56
- Labour 41
- Green 14
- ACT 0
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 6
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 56 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 41 + Greens 14 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 62/122 – the minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 53.0% (+4.5%)
- Wrong 34.0% (-3.5%)
- Can’t Say 13.0% (-1.0%)
3 News Reid Research Poll November 2012
December 2, 2012
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 24 to 30 November 2012
Client: 3 News
Report: 3 News
Party Support
- National 47.0% (-1.8%)
- Labour 34.6% (+1.6%)
- Green 12.9% (+2.3%)
- ACT 0.2% (+0.1%)
- Maori 1.0% (-0.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- Mana 0.1% (-0.9%)
- NZ First 2.0% (-1.2%)
- Conservative 1.0% (-1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 59
- Labour 43
- Green 16
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/124 – two fewer than minimum 63 needed to govern
- CL – Labour 43 + Greens 16 + Mana 1 = 60/122 – three fewer than minimum 63 needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 37.4% (-3.6%)
- Shearer 12.6% (+4.1%)
- Peters 5.0% (nc)
- Norman 2.2% (-0.2%)
Leadership Performance Ratings
- John Key – 51.9% (-3.1%) well and 29.4% (-1.0%) poor = +22.5% net well (-2.1%)
- David Shearer – 31.6% (-1.9%) well and 34.4% (+2.9%) poor = -2.8% net well (-4.1%)
One News Colmar Brunton November 2012
December 2, 2012
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000
Undecideds:
Dates: 24 to 29 November 2012
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 44.0% (-1.0%)
- Labour 35.0% (+3.0%)
- Green 13.0% (+1.0%)
- ACT 1.0% (+0.4%)
- Maori 1.0% (-1.2%)
- United Future 1.0% (+0.8%)
- Mana 0.0% (-1.0%)
- NZ First 4.0% (-0.9%)
- Conservative 1.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 55
- Labour 45
- Green 17
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Conservative 0
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 55 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – 5 less than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 45 + Greens 17 + Mana 1= 63/121 -1 more than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 39% (-3.0%)
- David Shearer 15% (+4.0%)
One News Colmar Brunton Poll October 2012
November 21, 2012
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,009 of whom 856 had a party vote preference
Undecideds: 11%
Dates: 27 October to 31 October 2012
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 45.0% (nc)
- Labour 32.0% (-2.0%)
- Green 12.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.6% (-0.3%)
- Maori 2.2% (-0.7%)
- United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
- Mana 1.0% (+0.4%)
- NZ First 4.9% (+3.1%)
- Conservative 1.0% (-1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 58
- Labour 41
- Green 16
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Conservative 0
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/121 – 1 less than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 41 + Greens 16 + Mana 1= 58/121 -3 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 42% (-2%)
- David Shearer 11% (-1%)
- Winston Peters 6% (+2%)
- Russel Norman 3% (+1%)
Economic Outlook
- Better 44% (+3%)
- Worse 34% (-2%)
- Same 22% (-1%)
Partial Asset Sales
- Support 30% (+2%)
- Oppose 64% (-1%)
- Unsure 6% (-1%)
Herald DigiPoll September 2012
September 11, 2012
Polling Company: DigiPoll
Poll Method: Random Phone
Undecideds: Unknown
Poll Size: presume 750 respondents
Dates: Unknown, early September
Client: NZ Herald
Report: NZ Herald
Party Support
- National 47.9% (+0.4%)
- Labour 32.0% (-2.0%)
- Green 10.7% (+1.6%)
- NZ First 5.5% (+1.1%)
- Maori 1.5% (+0.2%)
- United Future 0.3% (-0.2%)
- ACT 0.2% (-0.3%)
- Mana 0.3% (-1.4%)
- Conservative 1.4% (+0.9%)
Projected Seats
- National 59
- Labour 39
- Green 13
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- ACT 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 7
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats, except National winning Epsom (on basis of TVNZ poll).
Coalition Options
- CR – National 59 + ACT 0 + United Future 1 = 60/123 – 2 less than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 39 + Greens 13 + NZ First 7 + Mana 1 = 60/126 -2 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 65.6% (+2.1%)
- Shearer 12.9% (-1.3%)
Country Direction
- Right 48.1% (-1.6%)
- Wrong 42.7% (-1.4%)
Mining poll
August 25, 2012
ResearchNZ polled 500 adults:
- 52% favour aeromagnetic surveying of minerals in world heritage sites
- 37% are against
- 42% support actual mining in world heritage sites that are not in Schedule 4
- 49% are against
Schools poll
August 25, 2012
ResearchNZ polled 500 adults:
- 55% are in favour of schools being given an achievement rating based on their national standards results
- 37% are against
- 55% are also in favour of performance pay for school teachers
- 39% are against