New Zealand Flag
March 1, 2014
Research NZ found:
- 22% agree NZ should adopt a new national flag, 37% disagree
- 41% of those who back a change, support the black flag with silver fern design, with 57% opposed
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Religion in schools
March 1, 2014
UMR found:
- 27% agree New Zealand schools should include classes on Christianity taught from a Christian perspective, with 47% disagreeing
- 74% agree New Zealand schools should teach about the differences between religions but not about which religion is right with 12% disagreeing
- 68% agree Evolution should be taught as the view of how life developed which is generally accepted by scientists with 14% disagreeing
- 38% agree Evolution, creationism and intelligent design should be taught as equally valid explanations for how life developed with 38% disagreeing
One News Colmar Brunton poll February 2014
February 23, 2014
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,007 respondents, of whom 834 had a voting preference
Undecideds: 13%
Dates: 15 to 19 February 2014
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 51.0% (+6.0%)
- Labour 34.0% (nc)
- Green 8.0% (-5.0%)
- ACT 0.4% (-0.1%)
- Maori 0.9% (-0.5%)
- United Future 0.3% (+0.2%)
- Mana 0.0% (-0.3%)
- NZ First 3.1% (-0.8%)
- Conservative 1.3% (-0.3%)
Projected Seats
- National 64
- Labour 44
- Green 11
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Conservative 0
- Total 125
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 64 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 66/125 – three more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 44 + Greens 11 + Mana 1= 56/125 – seven fewer than minimum needed to govern
- C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/125
On this poll there would be a centre-right Government.
Preferred PM
- John Key 43% (+1.0%)
- David Cunliffe 10% (-2.0%)
- Winston Peters 4% (nc)
Winston Peters
- 43% say he should be a Minister
- 43% say he should not
Most important issues
- Education 40%
- Health 37%
- Jobs 30%
- Child poverty 27%
- Wages 23%
- Crime 21%
- Income tax 17%
- Asset sales 17%
- House prices 15%
- Inequality 14%
Minimum Wage
- Increase to more than $15/hour 23%
- Increase to $15/hour 46%
- Increase to less than $15/hour 16%
- Stay at $13.75/hour 13%
NZ Flag
- Design a new flag 28%
- Keep current flag 72%
- If change, 85% say public should decide design
Roy Morgan poll mid February 2014
February 20, 2014
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 859 of whom 825 have a party preference
Undecideds: 4.0%
Dates: 03 February to 16 February 2014
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 48.0% (+1.0%)
- Labour 30.0% (-3.0%)
- Green 12.0% (+1.0%)
- NZ First 5.5% (+1.0%)
- Maori 0.5% (-1.0%)
- United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
- ACT 1.0% (+1.0%)
- Mana 1.0% (nc)
- Conservative 1.0% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 58
- Labour 36
- Green 15
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 7
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/122 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 52/123 – ten fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 7 + Maori 3 = 7/123
On this poll a centre-right Government could be formed with the Maori Party or NZ First. A centre-left Government would need both the Maori Party and NZ First.
Country Direction
- Right 63.5% (nc)
- Wrong 23.5% (-1.0%)
- Can’t Say 13.0% (+1.0%)
Fairfax Ipsos poll Feb 2014
February 15, 2014
Polling Company: Ipsos
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,018 of whom 845 have a party preference
Undecideds: 17%
Dates: 10 February to 12 February 2014
Client: Fairfax
Report: Stuff
Party Support
- National 49.4% (-0.8%)
- Labour 31.8% (-1.8%)
- Green 10.0% (-0.7%)
- NZ First 3.6% (+1.3%)
- Maori 1.1% (+0.4%)
- United Future 0.1% (nc)
- ACT 0.5% (+0.4%)
- Mana0.3% (-0.4%)
- Conservative 2.1% (+1.4%)
Projected Seats
- National 64
- Labour 41
- Green 13
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 64 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 66/124 – three more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 41 + Greens 13 + Mana 1 = 55/124 – eight fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/124
On this poll a centre-right government would be formed.
Country Direction
- Right 63.7% (+4.2%)
- Wrong 35.6% (-4.9%)
Government Rating
- 5.8/10 (+0.2)
Time for a change
- Yes 47.3% (-2.8%)
- No 48.0% (+4.9%)
Baby Bonus
- Support 48.5%
- Oppose 48.1%
Raise Taxes
- Support 25.2%
- Oppose 69.4%
Roy Morgan poll early Feb 2014
February 15, 2014
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 846 of whom 812 have a party preference
Undecideds: 4.0%
Dates: 20 January to 02 February 2014
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 47.0% (+3.5%)
- Labour 33.0% (-0.5%)
- Green 11.0% (-1.5%)
- NZ First 4.5% (+0.5%)
- Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
- ACT 0.0% (nc)
- Mana 1.0% (+0.5%)
- Conservative 1.5% (-1.01.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 61
- Labour 42
- Green 14
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 61 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 63/123 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 42 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 = 57/123 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/123
On this poll there would be a centre-right Government,
Country Direction
- Right 63.5% (+0.5%)
- Wrong 24.5% (+1.0%)
- Can’t Say 12.0% (-1.5%)
3 News Reid Research Poll January 2014
February 3, 2014
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)
Undecideds:
Dates: approx 21 to 28 January 2014
Client: 3 News
Report: 3 News
Party Support
- National 44.5% (-3.2%)
- Labour 33.5% (+1.2%)
- Green 12.4% (-1.6%)
- ACT 0.0% (+0.6%)
- Maori 1.0% (-0.4%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.2%)
- Mana 0.3% (+1.1%)
- NZ First 5.7% (+0.3%)
- Conservative 2.1% (+1.7%)
Projected Seats
- National 55
- Labour 42
- Green 15
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 7
- Total 125
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 55 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 57/125 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 42 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 58/125 – five fewer than minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 7 + Maori 3 = 10/125
On this poll, NZ First would hold the balance of power.
Preferred PM
- Key 39.0% (-1.9%)
- Cunliffe 10.8% (nc)
- Peters 5.8% (-1.7%)
- Norman
NZ First
- 54% say John Key should work with Winston Peters, 36% say he should rule him out
- 61% of National supporters say John Key should work with Winston Peters, 32% say he should rule him out
Internet Party
- 21% said they would consider voting for Kim Dotcom’s Internet Party
- 75% would not
Roy Morgan poll mid January 2014
February 3, 2014
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,509 of whom 1,449 have a party preference
Undecideds: 4.0%
Dates: 06 January to 19 January 2014
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 43.5% (-1.5%)
- Labour 33.5% (+3.0%)
- Green 12.5% (-2.0%)
- NZ First 4.0% (-1.0%)
- Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
- ACT 0.0% (nc)
- Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
- Conservative 2.5% (+0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 56
- Labour 43
- Green 16
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 56 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 58/121 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 43 + Greens 16 + Mana 1 = 60/121 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/122
On this poll the Maori Party would hold the balance of power.
Country Direction
- Right 63.0% (+4.5%)
- Wrong 23.5% (-5.0%)
- Can’t Say 13.5% (+0.5%)
Herald on Sunday Key Research Poll
January 5, 2014
Polling Company: Key Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Undecideds: 18.6%
Poll Size: 500 respondents, of whom 407 had a voting preference
Dates: December 2013
Client: Herald on Sunday
Report: NZ Herald
Party Support
- National 48.2%
- Labour 39.6%
- Green 7.6%
- NZ First 1.0%
- Maori 0.7%
- United Future 1.0%
- ACT 0%
- Mana 0.2%
- Conservative 0.7%
Projected Seats
- National 60
- Labour 49
- Green 9
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- ACT 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/124 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 49 + Greens 9 + Mana 1 = 59/124 -four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/124
On this poll, the Maori Party would hold the balance of power.
Preferred PM
- Key 45%
- Cunliffe 18%
Asset Sales
- 37% say less likely to vote National because of them
NZ Herald Digipoll December 2013
January 5, 2014
Polling Company: DigiPoll
Poll Method: Random Phone
Undecideds: 12.6%
Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 656 had a party preference
Dates: 09 to 17 December 2013
Client: NZ Herald
Report: NZ Herald
Party Support
- National 46.8% (+3.1%)
- Labour 35.4% (-2.3%)
- Green 10.8% (-0.5%)
- NZ First 3.9% (-0.5%)
- Maori 1.3% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.0% (-0.1%)
- Mana 0.9% (+0.2%)
- Conservative 0.7% (-0.3%)
Projected Seats
- National 59
- Labour 44
- Green 14
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- ACT 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/123 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 44 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 = 59/123 -three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/123
On this poll, the Maori Party would hold the balance of power.
Preferred PM
- Key 61.9% (+6.1%)
- Cunliffe 16.5% (-0.3%)
- Peters 7.3% (+1.1%)
- Norman 3.4% (-0.3%)
Pike River
- Shareholders should pay compensation 64.4%
- Government should pay compensation 19.8%
GST
- Should be charged on all overseas purchases 40%
- Current exemption level of $400 should remain 53%
Berms
- Mowing berms responsibility of householder 60%
- Mowing berms responsibility of council 34%
Sex Education
- 75% say should teach more than the physical and medical aspects of sex
Fireworks
- 39% want sale of fireworks banned
- 60% happy with current rules
Speed limit
- 67% support reducing tolerance to 4 km/hr
- 29% against
Hauraki Gulf
- Ban commercial fishing in Hauraki Gulf 53%
- Support status quo 29%
Mining
- 58% support oil, gas and mineral exploration
- 38% against
Land sales
- 55% support bill limiting land sales to foreigners
Drink Driving
- 28% support that a BAC between 0.05 and 0.08 should be a criminal offence, with most supporting it being an infringement only.
Conservatives
- 33% think Colin Craig’s views are too extreme
- 24% say he is a welcome addition to political debates
- 43% don’t know
Gender Quotas
- 54% (52% of women) say Labour’s gender quota too restrictive
- 38% (42% of women) say a good idea