Housing importance poll
June 8, 2017
Curia did a poll for the Property Institute. It asked how important is housing policy in determining your vote:
- Will determine 8%
- Very important 29%
- Important 29%
- Not an issue 32%
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One News Colmar Brunton poll May 2017
June 7, 2017
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,007 voters of whom around 801 have a party vote preference
Undecideds: 12%
Dates: 27 May to 31 May 2017
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 49.0% (+3.0%)
- Labour 30.0% (nc)
- Green 9.0% (-2.0%)
- NZ First 9.0% (+1.0%)
- Maori 0.6% (-3.1%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.5% (+0.1%%)
- Mana 0.0% (-0.2%)
- Conservative 0.0% (-0.3%)
- Opportunities 1.4% (+1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 59
- Labour 37
- Green 11
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- United Future 1
- NZ First 11
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Greens 11 = 48/121 – 13 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 11 + Maori 1 = 12/122
On this poll National could govern with ACT and United Future.
Preferred PM
- Bill English 29.0% (+3%)
- Andrew Little 8% (+1%)
- Winston Peters 7% (-2%)
- Jacinda Ardern 6% (-3%)
2017 Budget
- 44% support tax changes
- 30% opposed
Housing
- Government taking right approach 30%
- Wrong approach 59%
Mental Health
- Support independent inquiry 77%
- Oppose 16%
Roy Morgan poll May 2017
June 6, 2017
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 856 of whom 809 have a party preference
Undecideds: 5.5%
Dates: 01 May to 14 May 2017
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 43.0% (nc)
- Labour 28.5% (-1.0%)
- Green 14.0% (+1.0%)
- NZ First 10.0% (-0.5%)
- Maori 1.5% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.5% (-1.0%)
- Mana/Internet 1.0% (+1.0%)
- Conservative 0.0% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 53
- Labour 35
- Green 17
- ACT 1
- Maori 2
- United Future 1
- NZ First 12
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 53 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 55/121 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 35 + Greens 17 = 52/121 – nine fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 12 + Maori 2 = 14/121
On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.
Country Direction
- Right 60.5 (+2.5%)
- Wrong 27.0% (-2.0%)
- Can’t Say 12.5% (-0.5%)
Mental Health poll
May 27, 2017
Stuff reports:
Only one out of ten New Zealanders thinks the Government is adequately supporting mental health care.
That’s according to a new poll released on Wednesday for the Public Service Association.
The poll showed 13 per cent of those surveyed thought the Government was doing enough to make sure Kiwis had the mental health care they needed when they needed it.
A further 60 per cent thought the Government wasn’t doing enough and 22 per cent were neutral. Five per cent of respondents weren’t sure.
Property Prices Poll April 2017
May 15, 2017
The Property Institute released:
“The number of people predicting an increase in property prices over the next six months is up 5% to 55% since March. Those expecting prices to decrease has dropped 5% from 12% to just 7%”.
“This means that expectations have rebounded to figures that closely match our November poll (56% increase & 8% decrease) – except in Auckland where there has been a big slump in expectations. Back in November 58% of Aucklanders were expecting house prices to rise – but last month that figure was down 12% to 46%, unchanged from our March poll”.
Pornography poll
May 1, 2017
A poll by Curia for Family First found:
- 71% of respondents think pornography overall is bad for society and only 4% good.
- 68% say online depictions of sexual violence are very harmful to society and 90% say moderately or very harmful.
- 72% says there is a fair bit or a lot of connection and 42% say there is a lot of connection between online pornography and public issues such as ‘rape culture’ and sexting.
- 62% of adults say they have come across pornography online, when not seeking it out. 13% say this has happened often and 48% at least occasionally.
- 91% say that it is too easy for under 18s to access online pornography.
- 81% say that Internet Providers should be required by the Government to offer filters to block pornographic material.
- 70% say that Internet Providers should automatically block pornography unless the customer opts out by turning off a filter.
Roy Morgan poll April 2017
April 29, 2017
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 862 of whom 802 have a party preference
Undecideds: 7.0%
Dates: 01 April to 16 April 2017
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 43.0% (-0.5%)
- Labour 29.5% (nc)
- Green 13.0% (-1.5%)
- NZ First 10.5% (+3.0%)
- Maori 1.0% (-1.0%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
- ACT 1.5% (+1.0%)
- Mana/Internet 0.0% (-0.5%)
- Conservative 0.5% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 52
- Labour 36
- Green 16
- ACT 2
- Maori 1
- United Future 1
- NZ First 13
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 52 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 55/121 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Greens 16 = 52/121 – nine fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 13 + Maori 1 = 14/121
On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.
Country Direction
- Right 58.0 (-3.5%)
- Wrong 29.0% (+3.5%)
- Can’t Say 13.0% (nc)
One News Colmar Brunton poll March 2017
March 28, 2017
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 voters
Undecideds:
Dates: 18 March to 22 March 2017
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 46.0% (nc)
- Labour 30.0% (nc)
- Green 11.0% (nc)
- NZ First 8.0% (-3.0%)
- Maori 4.0% (+3.3%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.3%)
- ACT 0.4% (-0.4%)
- Mana 0.2% (-0.6%)
- Conservative 0.3% (+0.1%)
- Opportunities 0.4% (+0.4%)
Projected Seats
- National 56
- Labour 36
- Green 14
- ACT 1
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- NZ First 9
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 56 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 58/122 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Greens 14 = 50/122 – 12 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 9 + Maori 5 = 14/122
On this poll the Maori Party would hold the balance of power.
Preferred PM
- Bill English 26.0% (-5%)
- Andrew Little 7% (nc)
- Winston Peters 9% (+1%)
- Jacinda Ardern 9% (+5%)
Economic Outlook
- Better 46% (-2%)
- Same 28% (-2%)
- Worse 26% (+4%)
Superannuation
- Support increase in eligibility age to 67 – 52%
- Opposed 40%
Freedom Camping
- 69% think more needs to be done to control behaviour of freedom campers
- 23% disagree
Vaccinations
- 48% support banning unvaccinated children from early childhood centres
- 43% disagree
Roy Morgan poll March 2017
March 26, 2017
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 847 of whom 783 have a party preference
Undecideds: 7.5%
Dates: 27 February to 12 March 2017
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 43.5% (-4.5%)
- Labour 29.5% (+3.5%)
- Green 14.5% (+1.5%)
- NZ First 7.5% (-0.5%)
- Maori 2.0% (nc)
- United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
- ACT 0.5% (-0.5%)
- Mana/Internet 0.5% (+0.5%)
- Conservative 0.5% (+0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 53
- Labour 36
- Green 18
- ACT 1
- Maori 2
- United Future 1
- NZ First 9
- Total 120
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 53 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 55/120 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Greens 18 = 54/120 – seven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 9 + Maori 2 = 11/121
On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.
Country Direction
- Right 61.5% (-2.0%)
- Wrong 25.5% (+2.0%)
- Can’t Say 13.0% (nc)
Newshub Reid Research poll March 2017
March 21, 2017
Polling Company: Reid Research
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250
Poll Size: 1,000
Undecideds: Unknown
Dates: 10 to 19 March 2017
Client: Newshub
Report: Newshub
Party Support
- National 47.1% (+2.0%)
- Labour 30.8% (-1.9%)
- Green 11.2% (-0.3%)
- NZ First 7.6% (-0.5%)
- Maori 0.7% (-0.6%)
- United Future 0.4% (+0.3%)
- ACT 0.4% (+0.2%)
- Mana 0.0% (-0.4%)
- Conservative 0.4% (-0.1%)
- Opportunities 0.8%
Projected Seats
- National 58
- Labour 38
- Green 14
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- United Future 1
- NZ First 9
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/122 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Greens 14 = 52/122 – ten fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 9 + Maori 1 = 10/122
On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.
Preferred PM
- Bill English 25.0% (-11.7% from Key)
- Andrew Little 8.3% (-2.2%)
- Winston Peters 8.9% (-2.0%)
- Jacinda Ardern 10.5%
Labour Leader
- Andrew Little 46%
- Jacinda Ardern 38%
Housing
- Is Government doing enough to control housing market – yes 19%
- No 19%
Immigration
- 51% support a cut in immigration
- 39% do not
Superannuation
- 52% support increase in entitlement age to 67
- 42% do not