Roy Morgan poll early January 2013
January 20, 2013
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,865 of whom 1,790 have a party preference
Undecideds: 4.0%
Dates: 02 January 2013 to 14 January 2013
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 46.0% (+0.5%)
- Labour 31.5% (-2.0%)
- Green 12.0% (+1.0%)
- NZ First 5.0% (nc)
- Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (=0.5%)
- ACT 0.5% (-0.5%)
- Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
- Conservative 1.5% (+0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 56
- Labour 39
- Green 15
- ACT 0
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 6
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 56 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 39 + Greens 15 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 53.5% (+0.5%)
- Wrong 33.5% (-0.5%)
- Can’t Say 13.0% (nc)