Roy Morgan poll December 2012
January 14, 2013
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 880 of whom 840 have a party preference
Undecideds: 4.5%
Dates: 26 November 2012 to 09 December 2012
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 45.5% (+0.5%)
- Labour 33.5% (+2.0%)
- Green 11.0% (-2.5%)
- NZ First 5.0% (-1.5%)
- Maori 1.5% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
- ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
- Mana 0.5% (+0.5%)
- Conservative 1.0% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 56
- Labour 41
- Green 14
- ACT 0
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 6
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 56 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 41 + Greens 14 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 62/122 – the minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 53.0% (+4.5%)
- Wrong 34.0% (-3.5%)
- Can’t Say 13.0% (-1.0%)