One News Colmar Brunton November 2012
December 2, 2012
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000
Undecideds:
Dates: 24 to 29 November 2012
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 44.0% (-1.0%)
- Labour 35.0% (+3.0%)
- Green 13.0% (+1.0%)
- ACT 1.0% (+0.4%)
- Maori 1.0% (-1.2%)
- United Future 1.0% (+0.8%)
- Mana 0.0% (-1.0%)
- NZ First 4.0% (-0.9%)
- Conservative 1.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 55
- Labour 45
- Green 17
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Conservative 0
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 55 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – 5 less than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 45 + Greens 17 + Mana 1= 63/121 -1 more than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 39% (-3.0%)
- David Shearer 15% (+4.0%)