Herald DigiPoll September 2012

September 11, 2012

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: Unknown

Poll Size: presume 750 respondents

Dates: Unknown, early September

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 47.9% (+0.4%)
  • Labour 32.0% (-2.0%)
  • Green 10.7% (+1.6%)
  • NZ First 5.5% (+1.1%)
  • Maori 1.5% (+0.2%)
  • United Future 0.3% (-0.2%)
  • ACT 0.2% (-0.3%)
  • Mana 0.3% (-1.4%)
  • Conservative 1.4% (+0.9%)

Projected Seats

  • National 59
  • Labour 39
  • Green 13
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except National winning Epsom (on basis of TVNZ poll).

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 59 + ACT 0 + United Future 1 = 60/123 – 2 less than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 13 + NZ First 7 + Mana 1 = 60/126 -2 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 65.6% (+2.1%)
  • Shearer 12.9% (-1.3%)

Country Direction

  • Right 48.1% (-1.6%)
  • Wrong 42.7% (-1.4%)

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