3 News Reid Research poll July 2012
August 5, 2012
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: assumed 28 July to 1 August 2012
Client: 3 News
Report: 3 News
Party Support
- National 50.6% (+4.8%)
- Labour 30.8% (-2.4%)
- Green 11.2% (-3.2%)
- ACT 0.1% (-0.4%)
- Maori 1.6% (+0.2%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- Mana 0.2% (-0.1%)
- NZ First 3.0% (+0.2%)
- Conservative 1.7% (+0.6%)
Projected Seats
- National 65
- Labour 39
- Green 14
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 65 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 67/124 – four more than minimum 62 needed to govern
- CL – Labour 39 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 = 54/122 – nine fewer than minimum 62 needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 43.2% (+2.7%)
- Shearer 8.9% (-3.4%)
- Peters 6.2% (+1.4%)
- Norman 2.0% (-2.0%)