Roy Morgan poll late June 2012
July 1, 2012
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,057, of whom 1,020 have a party preference
Undecideds: 3.5%
Dates: 08 June 2012 to 24 June 2012
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 47.5% (+1.5%)
- Labour 32.0% (+1.0%)
- Green 12.0% (-0.5%)
- NZ First 4.0% (-1.5%)
- Maori 1.5% (nc)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- ACT 0.5% (+0.5%)
- Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 60
- Labour 41
- Green 15
- ACT 0
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 60 + United Future 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 41 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 57/121 – four less than the minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 52.0% (+4.0%)
- Wrong 34.5% (-3.0%)
- Can’t Say 13.5% (-1.0%)