Herald on Sunday Key Research Poll June 2012
June 24, 2012
Polling Company: Key Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 700, of whom 589 had a party preference
Undecideds: 15.9%
Dates: 20 to 22 June 2012
Client: Herald on Sunday
Report: Herald on Sunday and full results on Scribd
Party Support
- National 47.9% (-8.5%)
- Labour 30.4% (+6.2%)
- Green 14.8% (+2.2%)
- ACT 0.5% (nc)
- Maori 1.7% (+1.1%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.3%)
- Mana 0.2% (-0.1%)
- NZ First 3.2% (-0.4%)
- Conservative 0.8% (-0.6%)
Note comparisons are to a pre-election poll, done eights months ago.
Projected Seats
- National 61
- Labour 38
- Green 19
- ACT 0
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Conservative 0
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 61 + United Future 1 = 62/123 – the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Greens 19 + Mana 1= 58/122 -4 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 45.9%
- David Shearer 16.9%
- Winston Peters 3.2%