Roy Morgan poll early June 2012
June 17, 2012
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,038, of whom 996 have a party preference
Undecideds: 4.0%
Dates: 28 May 2012 to 07 June 2012
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 46.0% (+2.0%)
- Labour 31.0% (+0.5%)
- Green 12.5% (-1.0%)
- NZ First 5.5% (+0.5%)
- Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- ACT 0.0% (-1.0%)
- Mana 1.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 56
- Labour 38
- Green 15
- ACT 0
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 7
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 56 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – 4 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Greens 15 + NZ First 7 + Mana 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 48.0% (-1.0%)
- Wrong 37.5% (-0.5%)
- Can’t Say 14.5% (+1.5%)