Roy Morgan poll early May 2012
June 4, 2012
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 894, of whom 849 have a party preference
Undecideds: 5.0%
Dates: 30 April 2012 to 13 May 2012
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 44.5% (-2.5%)
- Labour 30.0% (+1.5%)
- Green 15.0% (nc)
- NZ First 5.5% (+0.5%)
- Maori 1.0% (-0.5%)
- United Future 1.0% (+0.5%)
- ACT 0.0% (-0.5%)
- Mana 0.5% (+0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 55
- Labour 37
- Green 18
- ACT 0
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 7
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 55 + United Future 1 = 56/122 – 6 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Greens 18 + NZ First 7 + Mana 1 = 63/121 – 1 more than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 51.0% (-4.0%)
- Wrong 35.5% (+2.5%)
- Can’t Say 13.5% (-0.5%)