Roy Morgan Poll early March 2012
March 16, 2012
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 904, of whom 868 have a party preference
Undecideds: 4.0%
Dates: 27 February 2012 to 11 March 2011
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 48.5% (+3.0%)
- Labour 30.0% (-1.5%)
- Green 12.5% (-0.5%)
- NZ First 5.0% (nc)
- Maori 1.0% (-0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- ACT 0.5% (nc)
- Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 59
- Labour 36
- Green 15
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 6
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/122 – 1 less than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Greens 15 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 58/122 – 4 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 52.5% (-1.0%)
- Wrong 34.0% (+1.5%)
- Can’t Say 13.5% (-0.5%)