Roy Morgan poll 24 November 2011
November 25, 2011
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 959, of whom 921 have a party preference
Undecideds: 4.0%
Dates: 22 to 24 November 2011
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 49.5% (-3.5%)
- Labour 23.5% (-1.0%)
- Green 14.5% (+1.5%)
- ACT 1.5% (nc)
- Maori 1.0% (-2.0%)
- United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
- NZ First 6.5% (+3.5%)
- Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 60
- Labour 29
- Green 18
- ACT 2
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 8
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, Mana and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.Tonga.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 60 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 63/123 – 1 more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 29 + Greens 18 + NZ First 8 + Mana 1 = 57/122 – 5 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 49.5% (-11.0%)
- Wrong 31.0% (+7.0%)
- Can’t Say 19.5% (+4.0%)