Roy Morgan early November 2011
November 11, 2011
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 911, of whom 847 have a party preference
Undecideds: 7.0%
Dates: 24 October to 06 November 2011
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 53.0% (-0.5%)
- Labour 26.0% (-3.5%)
- Green 12.0% (+2.5%)
- ACT 1.0% (nc)
- Maori 2.0% (nc)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- NZ First 4.5% (+2.0%)
- Mana 1.0% (+0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 67
- Labour 33
- Green 15
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, ACT, Mana and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 67 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 69/121 – 8 more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 33 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 49/122 – 12 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 58.5% (-2.5%)
- Wrong 27.5% (+3.0%)
- Can’t Say 14.0% (-0.5%)