One News Colmar Brunton poll October 2011
November 6, 2011
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,008, of whom 858 had a party preference
Undecideds: 10%
Dates: 29 October to 2 November 2011
Client: One News
Report: One News
Party Support
- National 56.0% (nc)
- Labour 30.0% (+1.0%)
- Green 9.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.9% (-0.4%)
- Maori 1.3% (+0.2%)
- United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
- Mana 0.3% (-0.3%)
- NZ First 2.2% (+0.3%)
Projected Seats
- National 69
- Labour 37
- Green 11
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 69 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 71/123 – 9 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Greens 11 + Mana 1= 49/122 -13 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 56% (-3%)
- Phil Goff 12% (+4%)