Roy Morgan early October 2011
October 18, 2011
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 847, of whom 788 have a party preference
Undecideds: 7%
Dates: 26 September to 09 October 2011
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 55.5% (+4.5%)
- Labour 28.0% (-2.5%)
- Green 9.5% (-2.0%)
- ACT 1.5% (nc)
- Maori 2.0% (-0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- NZ First 2.0% (+1.0%)
- Mana 0.5% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 68
- Labour 34
- Green 12
- ACT 2
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, ACT, Mana and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 68 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 71/121 – 10 more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 34 + Greens 12 + Mana 1 = 47/122 – 14 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 62.0% (+0.5%)
- Wrong 24.5% (nc)
- Can’t Say 13.5% (-0.5%)