Roy Morgan late September 2011
October 1, 2011
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 788, of whom 773 have a party preference
Undecideds: 7%
Dates: 12 September to 25 September 2011
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 51.0% (-6.0%)
- Labour 30.5% (+4.5%)
- Green 11.5% (-+4.0%)
- ACT 1.5% (nc)
- Maori 2.5% (nc)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- NZ First 1.0% (-2.5%)
- Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 62
- Labour 37
- Green 14
- ACT 2
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, Mana and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 62 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 65/121 – 4 more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 = 52/122 – 9 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 61.5% (+1.5%)
- Wrong 24.5% (-3.5%)
- Can’t Say 14.0% (+2.0%)