Roy Morgan Poll late June 2011
July 3, 2011
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 916, of whom 838 have a party preference
Dates: 13 June to 26 June 2011
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 54.0% (+1.0%)
- Labour 30.5% (+0.5%)
- Green 5.5% (-1.5%)
- ACT 2.5% (-0.5%)
- Maori 3.0% (nc)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- NZ First 3.5% (+1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 67
- Labour 38
- Green 7
- ACT 3
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, Mana and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 67 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 71/121 – 10 more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Greens 7 + Mana 1 = 46/122 – 15 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 53.5% (-2.0%)
- Wrong 31.5% (+2.0%)
- Can’t Say 15.0% (nc)