Roy Morgan Poll late May 2011
June 10, 2011
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 942, of whom 853 have a party preference
Dates: 16 May to 29 May 2011
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 49.0% (-4.0%)
- Labour 38.0% (+8.0%)
- Green 6.5% (-3.5%)
- ACT 1.5% (-0.5%)
- Maori 2.5% (+0.5)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- NZ First 2.5% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 61
- Labour 45
- Green 8
- ACT 2
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, Mana and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 61 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 64/122 – 2 more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 45 + Greens 8 + Mana 1 = 54/122 – 8 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 55.0% (-1.5%)
- Wrong 28.0% (-2.0%)
- Can’t Say 17.0% (+3.5%)