TV3 Reid Research Poll August 2010
August 16, 2010
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 890 have a party preference, (3.4% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 06 August to 10 August 2010
Client: TV3
Report: TV3
Party Support
- National 54.5% (-0.8%)
- Labour 30.6% (+0.1%)
- Green 9.5% (+2.0%)
- ACT 2.2% (+0.6%)
- Maori 1.5% (-0.4%)
- United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
- Progressive 0.0% (nc)
- NZ First 1.5% (-0.3%)
Projected Seats
- National 66
- Labour 37
- Green 12
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 0
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 66 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 70/124 – 7 more than minimum 63 needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Greens 12 = 49/124 -14 less than minimum 63 needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 48.7% (-0.9%)
- Clark 2.3% (-2.6%)
- Goff 7.4% (+2.3%)
- Peters 3.7% (+0.9%)
Leadership Approval
- Key – 69.9% (+0.9%) doing well vs 15.9% (nc) doing poorly – net positive is 54.0% (+0.9%)
- Goff – 30.9% (+3.7%) doing well vs 43.9% (-1.5%) doing poorly – net positive is -13.0% (+5.2%)
Leadership Characteristics – Positive
- capable leader – Key by 44% (+6%)
- good in a crisis – Key by 29% (+7%)
- sound judgement – Key by 21% (nc)
- in touch with Maori – Key by 6% (+1%)
Leadership Characteristics – Negative
- more style than substance – Key by 13% (-1%)
- talk down to people – Goff by 2% (-8%)
- narrow minded – Goff by 6% (-3%)
- inflexible – Goff by 7% (+2%)
Land sales to foreigners
- 76% say tighten rules
- 14% say leave as it is
- 8% say relax the rules
Drink Driving
- 35% say keep at 80
- 36% say reduce to 50
- 28% say reduce to zero