One News Colmar Brunton Poll August 2010

August 16, 2010

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,011 adults, 864 of whom had a party vote preference

Dates: 31 July to 04 August 2010

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 49.0% (nc)
  • Labour 35.0% (+2.0%)
  • Green 7.0% (nc)
  • ACT 2.7% (+1.1%)
  • Maori 2.3% (-1.3%)
  • United Future 0.4% (-0.1%)
    Progressive 0.1% (-0.4%)
  • NZ First 2.3% (+1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 61
  • Labour 44
  • Green 9
  • ACT 3
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT, United Future one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 61 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 65/121 – 3 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 44 + Greens 9 = 53/121 -9 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Economic Outlook

  • 55% economy over next 12 months will be better (-1.0%)
  • 19% same (+1.0%)
  • 25% worse (-1.0%)
Preferred PM
  • John Key 45% (-1.0%)
  • Phil Goff 9% (+3%)
  • Helen Clark 3% (nc)
Drink Drive Limit
  • 64% say Govt should have lowered to 0.05
  • 34% say should not have lowered
Extending 90 day trial periods
  • 60% support extending to all employers
  • 36% opposed
Chris Carter
  • 58% say he should resign from Parliament
  • 33% say he should not

Phil Goff

  • 24% say he can win the next election
  • 65% say he can not, including 39% of Labour voters

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