Roy Morgan Poll late June 2010
July 9, 2010
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 849, of whom 798 have a party preference
Dates: 21 June to 04 July 2010
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 53.0% (+2.5%)
- Labour 29.0% (-4.0%)
- Green 8.5% (-1.0%)
- ACT 2.0% (+1.0%)
- Maori 3.0% (nc)
- United Future 0.5% (-0.5%)
- Progressive 0.0% (nc)
- NZ First 3.0% (+1.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 66
- Labour 36
- Green 11
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 0
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 66 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 69/121 – 8 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Greens 11 = 47/121 – 14 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 65.0% (+4.5%)
- Wrong 21.0% (-3.0%)
- Can’t Say 14.0% (-1.5%)