Roy Morgan Poll late January 2010
February 13, 2010
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,758 (2.4% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 18 January to 31 January 2010
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 52.0% (-1.0%)
- Labour 32.0% (+2.0%)
- Green 6.0% (-2.0%)
- ACT 2.0% (nc)
- Maori 3.0% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- Progressive 0.5% (nc)
- NZ First 3.5% (+1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 65
- Labour 40
- Green 17
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 65 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 68/121 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 40 + Progressive 1 + Greens 7 = 48/121 – 13 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 71.0% (+2.5%)
- Wrong 20.0% (-1.0%)
- Can’t Say 9.0% (-1.5%)