Roy Morgan December 2009
December 21, 2009
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 858 (3.4% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 30 November to 13 December 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 54.0% (+0.5%)
- Labour 27.5% (-3.0%)
- Green 9.5% (+2.5%)
- ACT 1.5% (nc)
- Maori 1.5% (-2.0%)
- United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
- Progressive 0.0% (nc)
- NZ First 4.0% (+1.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 68
- Labour 35
- Green 12
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 68 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 71/124 – 8 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 35 + Progressive 1 + Greens 12 = 48/124 – 15 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 62.5% (-3.5%)
- Wrong 25.0% (+3.0%)
- Can’t Say 12.5% (+0.5%)