Roy Morgan early November 2009
December 6, 2009
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 951 (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 19 October to 01 November 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 55.5% (+2.5%)
- Labour 29.0% (-1.0%)
- Green 7.5% (nc)
- ACT 1.0% (-1.5%)
- Maori 3.5% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- Progressive 0.5% (nc)
- NZ First 1.5% (-1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 68
- Labour 36
- Green 9
- ACT 1
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 68 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 70/121 – 9 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Progressive 1 + Greens 9 = 46/121 – 15 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 66.5% (-1.0%)
- Wrong 20.5% (-1.0%)
- Can’t Say 13.0% (+2.0%)