Roy Morgan Poll mid October 2009
October 26, 2009
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 951 (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 05 October to 18 October 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 53.0% (-4.5%)
- Labour 30.0% (+2.0%)
- Green 7.5% (+1.0%)
- ACT 2.5% (+1.0%)
- Maori 3.0% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (-0.5%)
- Progressive 0.5% (+0.5%)
- NZ First 2.5% (+0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 65
- Labour 37
- Green 9
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 65 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 69/121 – 8 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Progressive 1 + Greens 9 = 47/121 – 14 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 67.5% (-4.5%)
- Wrong 21.5% (+5.0%)
- Can’t Say 11.0% (-0.5%)