Roy Morgan Poll early September 2009
September 19, 2009
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 854 (3.4% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 31 August to 13 September 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 51.5% (-5.0%)
- Labour 33.5% (+4.0%)
- Green 7.5% (-0.5%)
- ACT 2.0% (+0.5%)
- Maori 2.5% (+1.0%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
- Progressive 0.5% (nc)
- NZ First 2.5% (+1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 64
- Labour 41
- Green 9
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 64 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 67/123 – 5 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 41 + Progressive 1 + Greens 9 = 51/123 -11 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 67.5% (+2.0%)
- Wrong 24.5% (+2.5%)
- Can’t Say 8.0% (-4.5%)