Roy Morgan Poll late May 2009
May 26, 2009
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 985 (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 04 May to 17 May 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 52.0% (-3.0%)
- Labour 31.5% (+1.0%)
- Green 9.5% (+2.5%)
- ACT 2.0% (nc)
- Maori 2.5% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
- Progressive 0.5% (nc)
- NZ First 1.0% (-1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 63
- Labour 38
- Green 2
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 63 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 66/124 – 4 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Progressive 1 + Greens 12 = 51/124 -11 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 67.5% (+1.0%)
- Wrong 19.5% (-0.5%)
- Can’t Say 13.0% (-0.5%