One News Colmar Brunton Poll March 2009
April 6, 2009
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: Approx 1,000 adults
Dates: Probably 28 March to 2 April 2009
Client: One News
Report: TVNZ
Party Support
- National 57.0% (+1.0%)
- Labour 31.0% (+3.0%)
- Green 7.0% (+1.0%)
- ACT 1.6% (-1.5%)
- Maori 2.2% (-1.2%)
- United Future not reported yet
- Progressive not reported yet
- NZ First not reported yet
Projected Seats
- National 70
- Labour 37
- Green 8
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 70 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 73/124 – 10 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Progressive 1 + Greens 8 = 46/124 -17 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.Economic Outlook
- 42% economy over next 12 months will be better (+5.0%)
- 19% same (-2.0%)
- 39% worse (-3.0%)