Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 900 (3.3% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 02 March to 15 March 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 54.5% (-1.5%)
- Labour 29.0% (+3.0%)
- Green 8.0% (-0.5%)
- ACT 2.5% (+1.0%)
- Maori 2.0% (-1.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- Progressive 0.5% (+0.5%)
- NZ First 2.0% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 67
- Labour 36
- Green 10
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 67 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 71/123 – 9 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Progressive 1 + Greens 10 = 47/122 -15 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 67.5% (-1.5%)
- Wrong 20.0% (+1.5%)
- Can’t Say 12.5% (nc)