One News Colmar Brunton poll June 2014

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,002 respondents, of whom 813 had a voting preference

Undecideds: 15%

Dates: 21 to 25 June 2014

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

• National 50.0% (-1.0%)
• Labour 29.0% (-1.0%)
• Green 12.0% (+1.0%)
• ACT 0.7% (-0.1%)
• Maori 1.2% (+0.4%)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• Mana/Internet 2.3% (+1.2%)
• NZ First 3.8% (-1.0%)
• Conservative 1.0% (-0.3%)

Projected Seats

• National 64
• Labour 36
• Green 15
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana/Internet 3
• NZ First 0
• Conservative 0
• Internet 0
• Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 64 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 66/123 – four more than minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 36 + Greens 15 + Mana/Internet 3 = 54/123 – eight fewer than minimum needed to govern
• C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/123

On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.

Preferred PM

• John Key 47% (+4.0%)
• David Cunliffe 10% (nc)
• Winston Peters 2% (-4.0%)

Coalitions

• 75% say parties should declare before election day who they would work with
• 19% disagree

Team NZ

• 62% say Team NZ should rely on private sponsorship from now on
• 30% say the Government should give Team NZ more money