One News Colmar Brunton poll March 2014
March 30, 2014
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,003 respondents, of whom 767 had a voting preference
Undecideds: 18%
Dates: 22 to 26 March 2014
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 47.0% (-4.0%)
- Labour 31.0% (-3.0%)
- Green 11.0% (+3.0%)
- ACT 0.3% (-0.1%)
- Maori 0.7% (-0.2%)
- United Future 0.1% (-0.2%)
- Mana 0.0% (nc)
- NZ First 7.0% (+3.9%)
- Conservative 2.3% (+1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 58
- Labour 39
- Green 14
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 8
- Conservative 0
- Total 125
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/125 – three fewer than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 39 + Greens 14 + Mana 1= 54/125 – nine fewer than minimum needed to govern
- C – Maori 3 + NZ First 8 = 11/125
On this poll the Maori Party could allow a centre-right Government to be formed or both the Maori Party and NZ First could support a centre-left Government.
Preferred PM
- John Key 42% (-1.0%)
- David Cunliffe 8% (-2.0%)
- Winston Peters 4% (nc)