Roy Morgan poll mid January 2014
February 3, 2014
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,509 of whom 1,449 have a party preference
Undecideds: 4.0%
Dates: 06 January to 19 January 2014
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 43.5% (-1.5%)
- Labour 33.5% (+3.0%)
- Green 12.5% (-2.0%)
- NZ First 4.0% (-1.0%)
- Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
- ACT 0.0% (nc)
- Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
- Conservative 2.5% (+0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 56
- Labour 43
- Green 16
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 56 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 58/121 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 43 + Greens 16 + Mana 1 = 60/121 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/122
On this poll the Maori Party would hold the balance of power.
Country Direction
- Right 63.0% (+4.5%)
- Wrong 23.5% (-5.0%)
- Can’t Say 13.5% (+0.5%)