Roy Morgan poll late July 2013
August 1, 2013
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 824 of whom 791 have a party preference
Undecideds: 4.0%
Dates: 15 July 2013 to 28 July 2013
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 51.0% (+4.0%)
- Labour 29.0% (-2.0%)
- Green 10.0% (-1.5%)
- NZ First 4.0% (-0.5%)
- Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
- Mana 1.0% (-0.5%)
- Conservative 1.5% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 66
- Labour 37
- Green 13
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 66 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 68/122 – six more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Greens 13 + Mana 1 = 51/122 – eleven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/122
On this poll there would be a centre-right government.
Country Direction
- Right 58.5% (+0.5%)
- Wrong 30.0% (+0.5%)
- Can’t Say 11.5% (-1.0%)