Roy Morgan poll late April 2013

May 2, 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 877 of whom 833 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.0%

Dates: 15 April 2013 to 28 April 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 46.5% (+6.0%)
  • Labour 31.5% (-4.0%)
  • Green 11.5% (-2.5%)
  • NZ First 4.5% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • ACT 0.5% (nc)
  • Mana 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • Conservative 2.0% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 61
  • Labour 41
  • Green 14
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 6
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 61 + United Future 1 = 62/121 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 14 + NZ First 0 + Mana 1 = 56/120 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 54.5% (+3.0%)
  • Wrong 34.0% (-1.5%)
  • Can’t Say 11.5% (-1.5%)

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