Roy Morgan poll early March 2013
March 21, 2013
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 977 of whom 928 have a party preference
Undecideds: 5.0%
Dates: 25 February 2013 to 10 March 2013
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 43.5% (-4.0%)
- Labour 32.5% (+2.0%)
- Green 13.5% (+1.0%)
- NZ First 5.0% (+2.0%)
- Maori 2.0% (-0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- ACT 0.5% (nc)
- Mana 0.0% (-0.5%)
- Conservative 2.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 54
- Labour 40
- Green 17
- ACT 0
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 6
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 54 + United Future 1 = 55/122 – seven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 40 + Greens 17 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 64/120 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 51.5% (-2.5%)
- Wrong 37.5% (+5.0%)
- Can’t Say 11.0% (-2.5%)