One News Colmar Brunton poll May 2018
June 18, 2018
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone – 50/50 landline and mobile
Poll Size: 1,007 voters of whom 839 have a party vote preference
Undecideds: 13%
Dates: 19 to 23 May 2018
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 45.0% (+1%)
- Labour 43.0% (nc)
- Green 5.0% (-1%)
- NZ First 4.2% (-0.8%)
- Maori 0.9% (-0.3%)
- ACT 0.7% (+0.4%)
- Opportunities 0.5% (+0.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 58
- Labour 55
- Green 6
- ACT 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 120
Coalition Options
- CR – National 58 + ACT 1 = 59/120 – two fewer the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 55 + Greens 6 = 61/120 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 0= 0/120
On this poll there would be a Labour/Green Government
Preferred PM
- Simon Bridges 12.0% (+2%)
- Jacinda Ardern 41% (+4%)
- Winston Peters 4% (-1%)
- Judith Collins 2% (nc)
Economic Outlook
- Better 40% (+3%)
- Same 25% (-4%)
- Worse 35 (+1%)
Government’s management of Budget
- Better than expected 9%
- Same as expected 56%
- Worse than expected 11%
Government management of M Bovis outbreak
- Good 14%
- Okay 42%
- Poor 24%
Increase in fuel tax
- Support 36%
- Oppose 585
Winston Peters as Acting PM will do
- Good job 32% (-2%)
- Okay job 53% (+3%)
- Bad job 11% (nc)