One News Colmar Brunton poll February 2018
March 19, 2018
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone – 50/50 landline and mobile
Poll Size: 1,007 voters of whom 822 have a party vote preference
Undecideds: 13%
Dates: 10 to 14 February 2018
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 43.0% (-3%)
- Labour 48.0% (+9%)
- Green 5.0% (-2%)
- NZ First 2.6% (-2.4%)
- Maori 0.7% (-0.2%)
- ACT 0.5% (+0.4%)
- Opportunities 0.6% (-0.6%)
Projected Seats
- National 54
- Labour 59
- Green 6
- ACT 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 120
Coalition Options
- CR – National 54 + ACT 1 = 55/120 – six fewer the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 69 + Greens 6 = 65/120 – four more than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 0= 0/121
On this poll there would be a Labour/Green Government.
Preferred PM
- Bill English 20.0% (-8%) (taken partly after resignation announced)
- Jacinda Ardern 41% (+4%)
- Winston Peters 4% (-1%)
Economic Outlook
- Better 37% (+1%)
- Same 30% (+2%)
- Worse 33 (-3%)