One News Colmar Brunton poll February 2018

March 19, 2018

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone – 50/50 landline and mobile

Poll Size: 1,007 voters of whom 822 have a party vote preference

Undecideds: 13%

Dates: 10 to 14 February 2018

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 43.0% (-3%)
  • Labour 48.0% (+9%)
  • Green 5.0% (-2%)
  • NZ First 2.6% (-2.4%)
  • Maori 0.7% (-0.2%)
  • ACT 0.5% (+0.4%)
  • Opportunities 0.6% (-0.6%)

Projected Seats

  • National 54
  • Labour 59
  • Green 6
  • ACT 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 120

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 54 + ACT 1 = 55/120 – six fewer the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 69 + Greens 6 = 65/120 – four more than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0= 0/121

On this poll there would be a Labour/Green Government.

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 20.0% (-8%) (taken partly after resignation announced)
  • Jacinda Ardern 41% (+4%)
  • Winston Peters 4% (-1%)
 Economic Outlook
  • Better 37% (+1%)
  • Same 30% (+2%)
  • Worse 33 (-3%)

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