Newshub Reid Research poll January 2018

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates:  18 to 28 January 2018

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

• National 44.5% (-1.3%)
• Labour 42.3% (+5.0%)
• Green 6.0% (-1.1%)
• NZ First 3.8% (-3.3%)
• Maori 0.8% (+0.4%)
• ACT 0.2% (-0.4%)
• Opportunities 1.4% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 57
• Labour 55
• Green 8
• ACT 1
• NZ First 0
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 57 + ACT 1 = 58/121 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 55 + Greens 8 = 63/121 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 0  = 0/121

On this poll there would be a Labour/Green Government

Preferred PM

• Bill English 26.0% (-8.7%)
• Jacinda Ardern 38.0% (+8.3%)

Leader Ratings

• Bill English – 53.3% well and 24.2% poor = +28.9%
• Jacinda Ardern – 70.9% well and 9.3% poor = +61.6%

PM’s pregnancy

• positively affect her performance 34%
• negatively 20%
• No impact 39%