Roy Morgan poll November 2017

December 5, 2017

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 887 of whom 869 have a party preference

Undecideds: 2.0%

Dates: 30 October to 12 November 2017

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 40.5% (-5.5%)
  • Labour 39.5% (+8.5%)
  • Green 10.0% (-1.0%)
  • NZ First 5.0% (-1.5%)
  • Maori 1.5% (nc)
  • ACT 0.5% (nc)
  • TOP 2.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 51
  • Labour 49
  • Green 13
  • ACT 1
  • NZ First 6
  • Total 120

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 51 + ACT 1 = 52/120 – nine fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 49 + Greens 13 = 62/120 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 6 = 8/120

On this poll Labour could govern with the Greens.

Country Direction

  • Right 66.5% (+8.0%)
  • Wrong 20.0% (-7.0%)
  • Can’t Say 13.5% (-1.0%)

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