One News Colmar Brunton poll December 2017

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone – 50/50 landline and mobile

Poll Size: 1,007 voters of whom 874 have a party vote preference

Undecideds: 10%

Dates: 29 November to 5 December 2017

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

• National 46.0% (nc)
• Labour 39.0% (+2%)
• Green 7.0% (-1%)
• NZ First 5.0% (+0.1%)
• Maori 0.9% (+0.4%)
• ACT 0.1% (-0.2%)
• Opportunities 1.2% (-1.1%)

Projected Seats

• National 57
• Labour 48
• Green 9
• ACT 1
• NZ First 6
• Total 121

Coalition Options

• CR – National 57 + ACT 1 = 58/121 – three fewer the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 48 + Greens 9 = 57/121 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 6= 6/121

On this poll there would be a NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

• Bill English 28.0% (-9%)
• Jacinda Ardern 37% (+6%)
• Winston Peters 5% (-1%)