Roy Morgan poll September 2017

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 866 of whom 825 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.0%

Dates: 28 August to 10 September 2017

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 40.0% (-2.5%)
• Labour 39.5% (+7.0%)
• Green 9.0% (nc)
• NZ First 6.0% (-5.5%)
• Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
• ACT 0.5% (nc)
• Mana 0.0% (nc)
• TOP 2.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

• National 50
• Labour 49
• Green 11
• ACT 1
• Maori 2
• NZ First 7
• Total 120

This is based on no change in electorate seats except Ohariu.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 51 + ACT 1 = 51/120 – 10 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 49 + Greens 11 = 60/120 – 1 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 7 + Maori 2 = 9/120

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

• Right 62.0% (-0.5%)
• Wrong 25.0% (+1.5)
• Can’t Say 13.0% (-1.0%)