One News Colmar Brunton poll 13 September 2017

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,006 voters of whom 840 have a party vote preference

Undecideds: 14%

Dates: 9 September to 13 September 2017

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

• National 40.0% (+1.0%)
• Labour 44.0% (+1%)
• Green 7.0% (+2%)
• NZ First 6.0% (-3.0%)
• Maori 0.9% (-1.1%)
• ACT 0.6% (+0.5%)
• Opportunities 1.6% (-0.3%)

Projected Seats

• National 48
• Labour 55
• Green 8
• ACT 1
• Maori 1
• NZ First 7
• Total 120

This is based on no change in electorate seats except Ohariu going to Labour.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 48 + ACT 1 = 49/120 – 12 fewer the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 55 + Greens 8 = 63/120 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 7 + Maori 1 = 8/121

On this poll there would be a Labour/Green Government.

Preferred PM

• Bill English 32.0% (+1%)
• Jacinda Ardern 34% (-1%)
• Winston Peters 5% (nc)