One News Colmar Brunton poll 13 September 2017

September 17, 2017

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,006 voters of whom 840 have a party vote preference

Undecideds: 14%

Dates: 9 September to 13 September 2017

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 40.0% (+1.0%)
  • Labour 44.0% (+1%)
  • Green 7.0% (+2%)
  • NZ First 6.0% (-3.0%)
  • Maori 0.9% (-1.1%)
  • ACT 0.6% (+0.5%)
  • Opportunities 1.6% (-0.3%)

Projected Seats

  • National 48
  • Labour 55
  • Green 8
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 120

This is based on no change in electorate seats except Ohariu going to Labour.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 48 + ACT 1 = 49/120 – 12 fewer the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 55 + Greens 8 = 63/120 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 7 + Maori 1 = 8/121

On this poll there would be a Labour/Green Government.

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 32.0% (+1%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 34% (-1%)
  • Winston Peters 5% (nc)
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